Spring Barrier Ends: ENSO Forecast To Be More Reliable
The ENSO Spring Predictability Barrier makes seasonal forecasts less reliable during the Northern Hemisphere's spring due to weak ocean-atmosphere coupling and high noise in climate signals. Neutral ENSO and IOD conditions currently persist, limiting their influence on the Southwest Monsoon. Despite this, monsoon rains have remained strong across most regions, though a break is expected later in July.
12/07/2025
