Skymet weather

MD Skymet, Jatin Singh: Monsoon 2019 is weak, very weak

June 11, 2019 9:38 PM |

Monsoon in India 2019

We are into the second week of June - the first month of the Southwest Monsoon period- but the picture hasn't boded well for the performance of Monsoon so far. In fact, we can say that Monsoon is weak, very weak. First, it was a delayed onset over Kerala (June 8) and now the rains aren't up to the mark.

If we look at the first 10 days performance of the Southwest Monsoon in June, the countrywide cumulative deficiency has mounted to 46%. South India, that accounts for a large share of Monsoon rains is staring at a deficit of 22%, while East and Northeast India is rain deficient by a whopping 46%.

And taking into account the region wise pre-monsoon deficiencies in the country for the same period, Northwest India is short by 40%, while the deficiency in Central India - one of the rainiest regions - is the maximum at 66%.

Currently, the Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) is nearly stagnant and is passing through Kunnur, Madurai, Central and Northeast Bay of Bengal extending up to Mizoram. Some places in the region have received good rains but they have not been widespread and intense. And for the next one week at least the situation is expected to remain the same despite Monsoon making some advancement.

Therefore, it is advisable that the farmers in states like Maharashtra and Rajasthan, where agriculture is largely rain-fed delay sowing of crops for another one or two weeks.

Meanwhile, a cyclonic storm Vayu has formed in the Arabian Sea. Usually, most cyclones that form in the Arabian Sea don't have a direct bearing on the performance of Southwest Monsoon as they mostly remain in the sea or move in a Northwest direction towards Oman missing the Indian mainland.

But this time the cyclonic storm Vayu, which in all probability will turn into a severe cyclonic storm is going to hit the Gujarat coast in the next 2-3 days. Heavy to extremely heavy rains are likely in Saurashtra and Kutch region of Gujarat like Porbandar, Veraval, Jamnagar, Dwarka, Junagarh and Okha during this period, which could possibly inundate low lying areas. People are advised to take necessary steps like stocking of food items and remaining indoors when the cyclone hits the state with high-velocity winds and rain.

Caution is also being extended to farmers as these heavy rains may damage the standing crops like late sown Bajra and Sesamum. It will also adversely affect the newly sown BT cotton and groundnut crop. While light rain in interior districts like Rajkot, Morbi, Valsad and Surat will benefit the freshly sown crops.

After hitting Gujarat, the cyclone might travel towards Rajasthan and impact the state with some good amounts of rain, particularly parts of South and West Rajasthan. However, it is suggested that sowing of crops in the state is delayed until the last week of June as another spell of rain is not likely till then in the state.


For accurate weather forecast and updates, download Skymet Weather (Android App | iOS App) App.

Weather Forecast

Other Latest Stories

Weather on Twitter
Already #rains have been a bane in the recent past when huge damage to life and property was induced over the hilly… t.co/AfgUEUR5Yk
Saturday, August 24 10:19Reply
Upcoming #rains might slow down the restoration processes and will induce further damage over #HimachalPradesht.co/vN0aIVmfSa
Saturday, August 24 10:14Reply
#Weather alert for #WestBengal #Rain and #thundershowers will occur at some places over Bardhman, Haora, Hugli,… t.co/i4J7AMmnMc
Saturday, August 24 10:07Reply
#Pune residents can remain relieved as there is no threat of flooding or waterlogging over the city. #PuneFloodst.co/zmLfV8symn
Saturday, August 24 09:31Reply
Light patchy #rains may continue over #Pune for another two days. Thereafter the #weather is expected to go dry as… t.co/UL3BKg6Y2u
Saturday, August 24 09:30Reply
IOD आणि MJO मुळे घटत असलेला एल निनो निष्प्रभ झाल्याने मान्सूनचा चांगला पाऊस #weather #WeatherAlert #ElNino t.co/clzVg2OJ11
Saturday, August 24 09:16Reply
Saturday, August 24 09:13Reply
#Weather is set to become pleasant hereafter. A relief will set in from the dry weather which was prevailing over… t.co/X3DfTQchbP
Saturday, August 24 08:56Reply
Rain activities will affect Indore by today evening or night. The #weather is cloudy over the city already. For the… t.co/zA6hT0vvxK
Saturday, August 24 08:55Reply
The city of #Indore is gearing up for some fresh #weather activities. The last time, the city received good #rainst.co/1UTRT7BmM4
Saturday, August 24 08:54Reply

latest news

Skymet weather

Download the Skymet App

Our app is available for download so give it a try