Low pressure has been persisting over Gangetic West Bengal and adjoining parts. The cyclonic circulation is extending up to high tropospheric levels. The monsoon trough running across the central parts is also passing through this feature. The convergence zone of strong winds is placed ahead of the center of the system. This zone has earlier triggered heavy rainfall over Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha, and Southeast Madhya Pradesh. As predicted, the trijunction of Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, and East Madhya Pradesh was the worst affected weather pocket in the last 24 hours.
Among the heavy rainfall locations, Nagpur recorded the heaviest rainfall of this season with 202 mm till 8:30 a.m. today. The neighbouring district Bramhapuri amassed 140 mm, and Mana in Chhattisgarh had a heavy downpour of 61 mm. The rainfall continues over these areas. However, the focus is likely to shift to Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan during the upcoming weekend.
The low pressure will move slowly to Jharkhand and Chhattisgarh over the next two days. The intense convergence zone of curving winds will shift to East Madhya Pradesh on 11th July and move further westward to Rajasthan over the subsequent 2–3 days. Very heavy rainfall between 11th and 12th July over Madhya Pradesh will shift to Rajasthan on 13th and 14th July, with a slight reduction in intensity.
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The locations at risk will include Narsinghpur, Chhindwara, Vidisha, Bhopal, Jabalpur, Umaria, Sagar, Damoh, Harda, Dewas, Ashoknagar, Shivpuri, Sheopur, Guna, Ashoknagar, Gwalior, Tikamgarh, Datia, Bhind, Morena, Rewa, Satna, and Chhatarpur. There will also be a danger of localized flooding over central and southeastern parts of Madhya Pradesh during this period. The southwest corner covering Ratlam, Indore, Ujjain, Dhar, Khargone, Barwani, Alirajpur, and Jhabua will be better off and escape the extreme fury of monsoon rains.
