Down South, as the off-shore Trough is still persisting, therefore moderate to heavy rainfall activities will continue over North Kerala and Karnataka Coast including Goa. Kozhikode, Kannur, Mangaluru, Agumbe, and Karwar may receive moderate to heavy rains.
While South Kerala will see a dip in rain intensity. Also, rainfall activities are likely to significantly decrease over Interior Karnataka and Kerala. Chennai, Tirupati, Nellore and Hyderabad will see dry weather conditions.
Meanwhile, in the eastern parts of the country, a Cyclonic Circulation has developed over Northeast Bay of Bengal and the Monsoon Trough is extending from East Uttar Pradesh to the East-central Bay of Bengal across Bihar, Jharkhand and Gangetic West Bengal.
The rainfall activities will now increase over East Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand and few parts of Gangetic West Bengal. We expect the system to intensify into a Low-Pressure Area by August 12. Gorakhpur, Maharajganj, Champaran, Muzaffarpur, Patna, Dhanbad, Purulia and Bankura will see light to moderate rains which is likely to intensify post 24 hours. Odisha to see light to moderate rains at many places.
Simultaneously, the Cyclonic Circulation over East Assam persists. Due to this,Meghalaya, Tripura, South Assam, Mizoram will receive moderate rains at few places while light to moderate rains are likely over Arunachal Pradesh, rest Assam and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim.
Yesterday’s Well Marked Low-Pressure Area has now become insignificant. The strong southwesterlies is prevailing over the Gujarat region and the offshore Trough from Gujarat to Kerala has now weakened. Hence, patchy rains might occur at few places over many parts of Gujarat with isolated light to moderate spells to be seen over Surat, Valsad, Vadodara.
Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha and Coastal Maharashtra including Mumbai will receive light to moderate rains. Rest parts of Central India will witness very light rains at some places.
Moving up in the North, the Western Disturbance is moving eastward and is lying over East Jammu and Kashmir. Yesterday’s Cyclonic Circulation over Punjab now lies over North Punjab and adjoining areas. Hence, moderate rains at scattered places can be seen over Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand with isolated heavy at few parts. Landslides are a possibility at isolated places over the areas.
Amidst this, rains are likely to reduce over Jammu and Kashmir.
As the Monsoon Trough has shifted close to the foothills of its western arm and the Cyclonic Circulation is over North Punjab. Therefore, rainfall activities over North Punjab, North Haryana and over the foothills of Uttar Pradesh will enhance and moderate spells with strong gusty winds will be experienced. Places like Chandigarh, Rupnagar, Ambala, Panchkula, Saharanpur, Moradabad and Bareilly will be impacted by these moderate rains.
Whereas, light rains are possible at few places of East Punjab, Haryana and Rajasthan, Delhi and West Uttar Pradesh.
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