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El Nino status

El Nino probability recedes, may not influence Monsoon 2019 up to large extent

February 10, 2019

The equatorial sea surface temperatures continue to settle above average across the Pacific Ocean. However, the temperatures are on decline. In fact, the most recent Oceanic Nino Index (ONI) figure i.e. for NDJ (November-December-January) stands at 0.8°C as compared to 0.9°C in OND (October-November-December). As reiterated, El Niño conditions are declared when the ONI which …

Probability of El Nino decreases, below 50 percent chances by Monsoon 2019

January 31, 2019

Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) continued to be positive across most of the Pacific Ocean. In fact, the most recent Oceanic Nino Index (ONI) figure i.e. for OND (October-November-December) stands at 0.9°C. El Niño conditions are declared when the ONI which is three months running mean of SSTs anomaly in the Nino 3.4 region, is …

Winter 2019 to pave way for El Nino

January 17, 2019

El Niño have been the talk of the town ever since the second half of 2018. After reiterating for long that El Niño would make an appearance during the fall, the time has finally arrived for one of the most dreaded weather phenomena. As per the latest prediction by the leading weather models, there are …

[Hindi] अल नीनो के उभार की संभावना प्रबल; कम पड़ेगी सर्दी

December 7, 2018

अल नीनो के अस्तित्व में आने के लिए मौसमी परिदृश्य धीरे-धीरे अनुकूल होता जा रहा है। प्रशांत महासागर लगातार गर्म बना हुआ है और भूमध्य सागर सागर के भी सभी भागों में समुद्र की सतह का तापमान सामान्य से ऊपर चल रहा है। पिछले दो हफ्तों से लगातार समुद्र की सतह का तापमान जीरो डिग्री …

El Niño inches closer, warmer winters ahead

December 7, 2018

Slowly and steadily, weather conditions are getting favourable for the arrival of El Niño. The Pacific Ocean continues to heat with equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) settling above average across most parts. In fact, for the last two consecutive weeks, SSTs have been settling above zero-degree mark. Particularly, in Nino 3.4 region, which is a …

[Hindi] अल नीनो के 2018-19 की सर्दियों में उभरने की संभावना

October 29, 2018

तमाम आशंकाओं और कयासों के बीच आखिरकार अल-नीनो के उभरने के लिए स्थितियाँ अनुकूल बन गई हैं। स्काइमेट के अनुसार सभी डाइनामिकल और स्टेटिस्टिकल मॉडल संकेत कर रहे हैं अक्तूबर 2018 से दिसम्बर 2018 के बीच अल नीनो की स्थित कमजोर से मध्यम के बीच रहेगी जबकि 2018-19 की सर्दियों में भी अल नीनो का …

El Niño to finally arrive by Winter 2018

October 29, 2018

After much speculations, El Niño is all set to finally make an appearance. According to Skymet Weather, there is a broad consensus among all the dynamical as well as statistical models that weak to moderate El Niño conditions would prevail from October 2018 to December 2018. In fact, these conditions would persist during the winters …

[Hindi] समुद्र के बढ़ते तापमान से अल-नीनो के उभरने के संकेत; सितंबर में कम हो सकती है बारिश

August 30, 2018

पिछले कई दिनों से प्रशांत महासागर में तापमान लगातार वृद्धि का रुझान दर्शा रहा है। हालांकि कुछ अवसर ऐसे भी आए हैं जब तापमान में मामूली गिरावट देखने को मिली। एल नीनो के बारे में घोषणा करने वाले प्रमुख मापदंड नीनो 3.4 में बीते कुछ दिनों में व्यापक रूप में वृद्धि देखी गई है। हाल …

Rising sea temperatures indicate arrival of El Niño, to impact September Monsoon rains

August 29, 2018

Warming across Pacific Ocean continues for the past many days, with minor fluctuations. However, past few days saw significant increase in the sea surface temperatures (SST), particularly Nino 3.4 that is a deciding factor for declaring El Niño. Here’s a look at the recent Nino Index (in °C): The Oceanic Nino Index (ONI), which is …

El Niño is on way back, all you need to know about it

August 26, 2018

El Niño has already sparked much discussion this season and with indications coming true, it is time for some reality check. Sea surface temperatures have been showing warming trend across Pacific Ocean for last many weeks. Although there had been slight fluctuations but most of the weather models have increased the probability of El Niño …