CPC Changes ENSO Status: Final La Nina Advisory To ENSO Not Active
ENSO remains in a neutral phase with a 92% probability through July, as per CPC and IRI forecasts, with stabilization supported by Nino 3.4 anomalies near -0.1°C. The Indian Ocean Dipole has returned to neutral but may turn negative post-July, while the MJO stays weak and incoherent. Despite lack of oceanic support, active weather systems in both the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal are driving early monsoon activity and aiding its progress.
posted on:
