The monsoon from the plains of North India had weakened considerably one month before the withdrawal this year, and the rainfall activity reduced since the first fortnight of September. The weather has been dry since September 15 in Punjab, Haryana, northern parts of Rajasthan, Delhi NCR, and western Uttar Pradesh. That is, a period of 2 months-long dry seasons has been seen in these areas.
Meanwhile, an active Western Disturbance is approaching Jammu and Kashmir in North India. The effect of this system will be seen from today. In the plains, a cyclonic circulation is expected to develop on November 14 or 15, which will give rain in Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, parts of western Uttar Pradesh, and parts of northeastern Rajasthan on November 15 and 16.
During this time, Punjab, Pathankot, Gurdaspur, Amritsar, Tarn Taran, Hoshiarpur, Kapurthala, Jalandhar, Ludhiana, Barnala, Sangrur, Patiala, Fatehgarh Sahib Sahibzada Ajit Singh Nagar, Mansa, Bathinda, Sri Muktsar Sahib, Fazilka, Faridkot, Firozpur, and Garjpur will observe rain activities.
Haryana will also see rain in Panchkula, Ambala, Yamunanagar, Kurukshetra, Kaithal, Karnal, Jind, Fatehabad, Sirsa, Hisar, Mahendragarh, Rewari, Charkhi Dadri, Jhajjar, Faridabad, and Palwal during this time.
Light rain may occur in Uttar Pradesh including Agra, Mathura, Hathras, Aligarh, Kasganj, Bulandshahar, Badaun, Meerut, Hapur, Moradabad, Bijnor, Muzaffarnagar, Saharanpur, Shamli, Baghpat, and Ghaziabad.
Light rains are also expected in Rajasthan including Sri Ganganagar, Hanumangarh, Churu, Jhunjhunu, Alwar, Jaipur, Bharatpur, Karauli, Dausa, and Dhaulpur.
Delhi and NCR cities may also see some rain activities in some parts on November 15, the next day of Diwali. The intensity of rain will not be very high, so its wide impact on the weather is not possible. However, to some extent, the drop in day temperature and relief from air pollution can be expected in many cities of Delhi NCR.