Kerala is all set to record good rains, with Severe Cyclone Gaja nearing the coast. The tropical storm is at present churning in southwest Bay of Bengal and is around 320 km east-southeast of Chennai and 300 km east-northeast of Nagapattinam.
Gaja is most likely to make landfall by the evening of November 15 and cross Tamil Nadu coast between Pamban and Cuddalore, near Nagapattinam as a cyclonic storm only.
Shortly after hitting the coast, Gaja would weaken into a deep depression and would continue to travel over land in west-southwest direction towards South Kerala.
As a result, good rains would now commence over Kerala. The southern state has been experiencing dry weather conditions since last many days. In fact, Cyclone Gaja has been obstructing the northeasterly flow of winds over the Peninsular India.
We expect moderate to heavy rains over southern districts of Kerala including Kollam, Kottayam, Alappuzha and Pathanamthitta. Other districts of the state may also receive scattered light to moderate rains on November 16-17.
By November 18, Gaja as a weakened system would move further west into Arabian Sea and weather will become almost go dry over Kerala. However, scattered light rains may continue.
These heavy rains are likely to bring down the rain deficiency of the state to some extent. We expect another spell of good rain around November 22-23 when another low pressure area would travel across Bay of Bengal towards Kerala.
Image Credit: The Indian Express
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