Dwindling Monsoon increases rain deficiency to 8%, bleak chances of recovery

September 14, 2018 1:00 PM |

Monsoon in IndiaMonth of September has not seen any good rains so far, barring two days which somehow managed to record some rains. As a result, countrywide cumulative deficiency has been on rise. Particularly, the deficiency is settling around 50% for the last four consecutive days.

With this, the cumulative countrywide deficiency which remained stagnant at 7%, further increased and now stands at 8%. In fact, we do not see situation getting any better in the coming days.

As per the meteorologists at Skymet Weather, rains would further reduce in the coming days, which would most likely lead to increase in the rainfall deficiency.

“No significant change is expected in the prevailing weather conditions. Barring some pockets of East and Northeast India, most parts of the country would see scanty rains only during the next few days. We are afraid that this may push the countrywide deficiency to 10%,” said AVM G P Sharma, President-Meteorology, Skymet Weather.

Monsoon performance in SeptemberMonsoon rains are primarily governed by Monsoon trough and Monsoon systems like low pressure area and depression. At present, none of these features can be seen.

The axis of Monsoon trough is running north of its position across the foothills of Himalayas. Thus, taking away the rain activity from the Central and Northwest India.

At present, a north-south trough is marked from Karnataka to Comorin region. Besides this, two cyclonic circulations can be seen, one over Arabian Sea off the Karnataka coast and the other over Tamil Nadu. As per weathermen, we do not see these small-scale features whenever Monsoon is active.

Weather models are also not suggesting formation of any significant weather system that could revive Monsoon or pull down the trough line at least for next one week. In the coming week, rainfall would be below average wherein Central, West and South India would see least rainfall activity.

The only saving point is the that we are reaching the fag end of Monsoon season, with which daily normal average rainfall would also dip.

Looking at this, Monsoon 2018 is going to end up with below normal rainfall. However, we are afraid that with dwindling Monsoon and no recovery in sight, we might even see cumulative deficiency surpassing 10%, which is borderline of below normal and drought. But we need to wait and watch for the same.

Image Credit:en.wikipedia.org

Any information taken from here should be credited to skymetweather.com

 

Weather Forecast

Other Latest Stories

Weather on Twitter
After #ChennaiWaterCrisis, #Delhi is also facing alarming cases of disappearing #groundwater. t.co/KBagH7tbuQ
Tuesday, June 25 22:30Reply
In the past 24 hours, Coastal #AndhraPradesh received moderate #rains with one or two heavy spells. t.co/4WATjQgxoh
Tuesday, June 25 22:00Reply
#Rains will be picking up pace in the state from June 27. During this period a few good spells are possible in part… t.co/IzG1cLkcvc
Tuesday, June 25 21:00Reply
#Monsoon2019 has now covered entire #Maharashtra, South #Gujarat and some more parts of #MadhyaPradesh. #Monsoon t.co/6I1RL4Q2Qc
Tuesday, June 25 20:30Reply
Take a look at the #Weather and #Rain alert for cities and states of #India. t.co/SN0Zjluxqk
Tuesday, June 25 19:30Reply
Places like #Cherrapunji, #Shillong, #Guwahati, Goalpara, #Dhubri, Barpeta, New Bongaigaon and #Silchar are likely… t.co/3vtRxXsEiT
Tuesday, June 25 18:20Reply
RT @SkymetHindi: समग्र भारत का साप्ताहिक मौसम पूर्वानुमान: 24 जून से 30 जून, 2019 t.co/WUc4Cgi0oi #hindi #hindinews #weatherupdate
Tuesday, June 25 17:25Reply
RT @SkymetHindi: उत्तराखंड, हिमाचल और कश्मीर में भारी बारिश की आशंका, भूस्खलन और जलभराव से फँस सकते हैं पर्यटक t.co/9vhs4a6ydF #hin
Tuesday, June 25 17:25Reply
RT @SkymetHindi: गुजरात के भुज, सूरत और अहमदाबाद में और बढ़ेगी बारिश, दस्तक देने के करीब मॉनसून t.co/8R92gnThHH #hindi #hindinews #…
Tuesday, June 25 17:25Reply
RT @SkymetHindi: मैदानी भागों में मंगलवार को 10 सबसे अधिक वर्षा वाले स्थान t.co/n8MHVfxjRJ #hindi #hindinews #weatherupdate #weathe
Tuesday, June 25 17:25Reply

latest news

USAID Skymet Partnership

Skymet weather

Download the Skymet App

Our app is available for download so give it a try