Kerala is one of the rainiest states during the Monsoon season, which is now in its fag end. The month of July is the rainiest for Kerala and thereafter the rains start to recede. The normal rainfall for the months of June, July, August and September are 643 mm, 720 mm, 427 mm and 244 mm, respectively.
The Monsoon season this year began on a poor not wherein June was deficient by 44% and July closed at a deficiency of 20%. However, the second half of the season picked up pace and August made up for the first two initial months wherein it ended with a surplus of 123%. The seasonal rainfall from June 1 to August 30 also improved to become 5% surplus.
In the month of September, the normals generally reduce simply because it is the withdrawal month. However, in this season the state has been clocking normal or above-normal rains in September.
From June 1 to September 23, the seasonal rainfall in Kerala is surplus by 13%. While normal rains for September month are 192 mm and Kerala has so far received 345 mm of rains which is 80% surplus.
The figures clearly tell us that the second half of the season has been the rainiest one in comparison to the first half.
In the month of September, Kerala has managed to retain the figure of 13-14% from the last few days which very clearly depicts that the state has been clocking normal rains.
According to meteorologists at Skymet, the rains are not going to stop in the state anytime soon as a Cyclonic Circulation continues to persist over west-central and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal off South Andhra and Tamil Nadu coasts.
Hence starting today, we expect moderate rains over the state for the next three days at least. However, tomorrow that is on September 25, heavy shower is very much predicted.
The southerlies and south-westerlies from the Indian ocean will also strengthen thus enhancing the rainfall activities.
According to weather experts, rains will follow south to north track wherein South Kerala will see good rains initially and rains will even extend up to the northern districts of the state.
Alappuzha, Thiruvananthapuram, Punalur, Kollam, Cochin, Idukki are very likely to see heavy rains tomorrow with light rains starting today itself. The day after rains will be of moderate-intensity and is very likely to cover Wayanad, Kannur, and Kozhikode then. Hopefully, by September 27 onward, rains will ease out and will be of light intensity.
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Any information taken from here should be credited to Skymet Weather