Lean Weather Activity Coming Up Over South Peninsula, Lull Before The Storm

November 18, 2024 1:11 PM|
Monsoon Clouds Linger Over Tamil Nadu, Signaling Potential Cyclone Formation, Image: Canva

After observing active Monsoon conditions for a couple of days, the southern parts of India have entered a sluggish phase. However, the weather activity will not get doused completely for the next three days but will remain confined to limited regions with suppressed intensity and spread. Following this, a lean phase is likely with a near absence of northeast monsoon almost over the entire region between 22nd and 24th Nov 2024. This small break may as well be a ‘lull before the storm’. There are early signs of a tropical cyclone likely to evolve over the Bay of Bengal.

Presently, there is a cyclonic circulation over the Maldives area and a trough extending towards the Lakshadweep region. There is another trough across the Gulf of Mannar and South Coastal Tamil Nadu in the lower levels. These two features will keep the northeast monsoon active, albeit in a limited area of South Tamil Nadu and some parts of Kerala. In the past 24 hours, the coastal and interiors of Tamil Nadu like Pamban, Tondi, Karaikal, Atiramapattinam and Kodaikanal received moderate rainfall. Scattered light rainfall was observed over the state of Kerala as well. A similar pattern but with reduced intensity is likely for the next 3-4 days. Subsequently, the weakening and shifting of the weather systems will lead to a ‘break’ in the northeast monsoon activity till 24th Nov 2024. Heavy weather activity is anticipated during the last week of November over Tamil Nadu and Kerala.

There is a likelihood of a major weather system emerging over the South Bay of Bengal. The system may turn into a tropical storm and head for Sri Lanka and Tamil Nadu. The timelines and impact of this weather system will need an observation period of 2-3 days. Tentatively, the southern states of the country need to prepare and embrace tough weather scenarios, sometime during the last week of November.

Similar Articles

thumbnail image
[Hindi] सम्पूर्ण भारत का मार्च 14, 2025 का मौसम पूर्वानुमान

13 से 15 मार्च के बीच पंजाब, हरियाणा, पश्चिमी उत्तर प्रदेश और राजस्थान में हल्की से मध्यम बारिश हो सकती है, जबकि 15 मार्च को पूर्वी उत्तर प्रदेश में भी बारिश की संभावना है।

posted on:
thumbnail image
Weather update and forecast for March 14 across India

During the next 24 hours, light to moderate rain and snowfall with thunderstorms and lightning may occur over the Western Himalayan region between 13 and 16. Isolated heavy rain and snowfall is possible over Jammu Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit Baltistan, Muzaffarabad and Himachal Pradesh on March 14.

posted on:
thumbnail image
Holi Weather Update: Forecast for Delhi, Mumbai, Jaipur, Patna, Mathura and Other Cities

Light rain may be seen in Delhi, Jaipur, Mathura and Haryana on the auspicious occasion of Holi while Mumbai and Patna will remain dry. Uttarakhand could experience snowfall and rain both.

posted on:
thumbnail image
होली पर कैसा रहेगा मौसम? जानिए दिल्ली, मुंबई, जयपुर, पटना, मथुरा समेत कई शहरों का मौसम पूर्वानुमान

रंगों के त्योहार होली पर मौसम का मिजाज अलग-अलग शहरों में भिन्न रहेगा। कुछ जगहों पर हल्की बारिश की संभावना है, तो कुछ शहरों में चटख धूप खिली रहेगी। आइए जानते हैं दिल्ली, मुंबई, जयपुर, पटना, मथुरा, हरियाणा, केरल और उत्तराखंड के लिए होली का मौसम कैसा रहेगा।

posted on: