Since the beginning of July, two Monsoon systems have formed wherein the second was more active and more prolonged which caused good rains in first half of July. These good rains have brought down the deficiency from 33 percent to 12 percent.
During the Monsoon season, at least two systems in the Bay are common and should occur so as to give rains over many parts. In fact, the months of July and August see at least three systems forming and even more than that at times.
Now, conditions are becoming favourable for a system in the Bay of Bengal. In fact, a feeble trough is already over North Bay of Bengal and a more significant trough is likely to form anytime now.
A Cyclonic Circulation is likely to form over North Bay of Bengal off Odisha and Andhra Coast in next 48 hours. In the subsequent 24 hours, the system is expected to intensify into a Low Pressure Area. The system will move over land, remaining partly over land and partly over sea.
In another 24 hours, the system will affect Chhattisgarh, Andhra Pradesh, Odisha and even parts of Vidarbha, which is around July 19 and 20. This system will also give rains over Southern Peninsular India, which has not seen enough rains. Thus, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka will see some rainfall activity.
Moreover, West Coast which has not seen any time may also see some rainfall activity with Kerala seeing the most amount of rains. This system will not be as strong as the previous one, which caused deluge. Also, the system will not travel far, and will stay in eastern and central parts only.
Moreover, rains may also be seen over East Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and Jharkhand during this time.
Image Credit: wikipedia
Please Note: Any information picked from here must be attributed to skymetweather.com