The Northeast Monsoon season gets manifested by formation of cyclonic systems in the southern latitudes of the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal. Presently there is a cyclonic circulation brewing in the India Ocean near Comorin region, which is showing signs of developing in the next 3-4 days into a low pressure area.
Climatological records show that these systems forming over these regions have a tendency to strengthen and move west-northwestwards, away from the Indian coast and head for Yemen/Oman. Such systems set pace for more cyclones to form.
If this system develops into a Cyclonic storm then it will be the first of the season. But we need to wait for 3-4 days before saying anything. However, the system is not going to impact coastal India in any way .
During summer equinox, equatorial region of the India Ocean becomes very active with a series of weather disturbances. At the moment there are some weather disturbances on the either side of the equator in close proximity and the conditions are favourable for these systems to strengthen, provided they gain latitudes.