MJO in favourable zone, to support formation of Cyclone in Arabian Sea

June 9, 2019 11:04 AM |

Cyclone in Arabian Sea

Skymet Weather has already indicated towards a cyclonic storm brewing in Arabian Sea. The system is presently seen as a low pressure area over Southeast and east central Arabian Sea. Tracking north-northwestwards, the system is moving in favourable conditions of warm sea surface temperatures and low vertical wind shear.

The indications are already strong enough for the formation of a cyclone during the next few days. However, another factor which has further cemented this possibility is presence of Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) in the favourable zone.

MJO is invariably linked with good rains during the Southwest Monsoon. It is quite a possibility that the prevailing Low Pressure Area could be the offshoot of MJO. According to weathermen, MJO is now seen in active phase and is likely to enter Phase 2 i.e. Indian Ocean very soon. Both Phase 2 and 3 are considered to be favourable zone for Indian subcontinent, in terms of rain activity rain activity over Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea.

Other than its presence, it is the amplitude of MJO that matters the most. Presently, it is moving with reasonable amplitude. MJO would at least stay for the next one week or 10 days, making condition favourable for the intensification of the system into a cyclonic storm.

We can expect low pressure area to gain from strength and become a depression in the next 24-48 hours. It would be moving parallel to the coast West Coast but maintain sufficient distance, It would not pose any threat to the coastal areas but would give good Monsoon rains and strong winds.

MJO has a transit feature and during Monsoon, we can expect three visits at least that could even go up to four also.

Image Credit:en.wikipedia.org

Any information taken from here should be credited to skymetweather.com


For accurate weather forecast and updates, download Skymet Weather (Android App | iOS App) App.

Weather Forecast

Other Latest Stories

Weather on Twitter
सितंबर 19 और 20 के आसपास मुंबई में मूसलाधार बारिश का दौर शुरू होने की उम्मीद है। लोनावला, माथेरान, महाबलेश्वर और अ… t.co/x4tDpaxFaO
Tuesday, September 17 20:55Reply
सितंबर 19 और 20 के आसपास मुंबई में फिर से मूसलाधार बारिश का दौर शुरू होने की उम्मीद है। पालघर, वाशी, ठाणे, खारघर,… t.co/Z2Fs4OqDVf
Tuesday, September 17 20:54Reply
सितंबर 19 और 20 के आसपास मुंबई में फिर से मूसलाधार बारिश का दौर शुरू होने की उम्मीद है। आगामी मूसलाधार बारिश के लिए… t.co/Emgyxbm9J9
Tuesday, September 17 20:53Reply
सितंबर 19 और 20 यानि गुरुवार तथा शुक्रवार के आसपास मुंबई में एक बार फिर से भारी से मूसलाधार बारिश का दौर शुरू होने… t.co/CBvI8g7TT4
Tuesday, September 17 20:52Reply
मुंबई के लिए स्काइमेट ने जारी किया रेड अलर्ट, 19 सितंबर को फिर दिखेगा मॉनसून का कहर, जलजमाव से यातायात में बढ़ेगी प… t.co/jddLQyBGjr
Tuesday, September 17 20:50Reply
Tuesday, September 17 20:45Reply
#Lonavala, #Matheran, #Mahabaleshwar, #Alibag are also expected to see some heavy showers during September 19 and 2… t.co/cMJIXh5LAS
Tuesday, September 17 20:41Reply
Parts of #Palghar, #Vashi, #Thane, #Kharghar, #Raigad, #Nerul, #Panvel, #Badlapur and adjoining areas will also see… t.co/i0ITvRbaOJ
Tuesday, September 17 20:40Reply
A red alert of heavy to very heavy Mumbai rains has already been issued for September 19 and 20, i.e. Thursday and… t.co/sr2HgWGUnJ
Tuesday, September 17 20:39Reply
@shubhamtorres09 @Mpalawat Heavy to very heavy Mumbai rains will make a comeback on September 19 and 20, i.e. Thurs… t.co/QwLlVwEGWj
Tuesday, September 17 20:37Reply

latest news

Skymet weather

Download the Skymet App

Our app is available for download so give it a try