Heavy to very heavy rains are expected over Mumbai and suburbs between 03rd and 05th July. A downpour to the tune of 100mm or more in 24hr has given amiss earlier on a few occasions in June. The situation seems to be building up now with a large probability of receiving heavy rains commencing 03rd and lasting for over 48hrs. 05th July happens to be a full moon and the sea surge and high tide in the afternoon may add to the ferocity of rains, a day prior and even later.
July is the rainiest month for Mumbai with a huge average of 841mm. The month is also expected to cover the shortfall of over 100mm in June and therefore a daunting task ahead. The past records testify that any major deficiency of monsoon rainfall by end of July becomes difficult to catch up in the latter half. High hopes are pinned on the current spell, followed by at least two more in the due course, by fag end of July.
Currently, a cyclonic circulation is marked over Saurashtra and adjoining the Arabian Sea. This feature is building up the surge of strong westerly winds striking the Konkan coast, resulting in heavy rainfall. It may continuously pour for long hours and breaks in between could be short and few.
Heavy rains along with strong winds could cause disruption in communication and connectivity. With waterlogging and inundation of low-lying areas, commuting services are going to be hampered. The heavy spell may as well affect rail, road, and air traffic simultaneously. Mumbaikars need to stay on high alert and exercise the utmost caution for the next three days.