Month of November has gone on record to be the rainiest since 1997. Tamil Nadu, Rayalaseema, Kerala and South Interior Karnataka were nearly drowned, more than once, due to extremely active phase of northeast monsoon. Monthly rainfall was registered at 56.5mm, an excess of 86%. First week of December hosted cyclone ‘JAWAD’ which deluged many parts of Odisha, West Bengal, Assam, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura. The remnants of the storm over northeast India seems to have become insignificant now.
Consequent to cessation of weather activity, the entire northeast India will enjoy fair weather conditions for the next one week. Scattered weather activity is likely today over the southern half of northeast region, adjacent to Bangladesh and Myanmar. Even the hilly pockets of West Bengal, Sikkim, Meghalaya and Arunachal Pradesh will experience pleasant weather conditions during the week.
Northern plains will remain free from clouds and rain and the good spell may extend beyond one week. Following recent snow in the hills and spell of rain around the weekend, minimum temperatures are likely to drop by 2-4°C in the next few days. Cloudless skies with mist and dense fog at few places and pleasantly warm days will be the hallmark of the week. However, the hilly region, particularly Jammu & Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh will be intruded by weak western disturbance, during the 1st half of the week.
Unlike the last week, central parts of the country are likely to remain largely free from any unseasonal weather interruptions. Slightly warm days are anticipated for Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra including Mumbai. Few stray clouds with light sprinkle over some parts of Marathwada and Vidarbha is likely around mid week. Sea breeze and land breeze will remain prominent for the coastal towns along the West Coast and Gujarat. Chhattisgarh and Odisha will slowly march towards the wintry flavor. Coastal Odisha will observe some ‘hit and miss’ showers on the 1st two days and clear off thereafter.
South India will continue to observe mild northeast monsoon activity. No major weather system is likely to travel across any of the sub divisions. Feeble cyclonic circulation is moving across the Comorin region and will become less marked. Coastal Tamil Nadu and South Coastal Andhra Pradesh may experience scattered moderate showers, as moderate northeasterly stream from Bay of Bengal strike against the coastline. Light to moderate rainfall is expected at few places over Kerala, Interior Tamil Nadu, South Interior Karnataka and Rayalaseema.
Overall , this week is likely to be ‘benign’ and not play any spoil sport on account of weather. Least rainfall activity is expected, even over five sub divisions of South Peninsula, otherwise fiercely struck by the northeast monsoon. No major weather system is likely to enter Bay of Bengal, at least till mid December.