Skymet weather

No more cyclones expected in October

October 16, 2014 6:12 PM |

Cyclone Hudhud Cyclone Hudhud was the first cyclone of the Northeast Monsoon season, which had emerged as a cyclonic circulation in the Bay of Bengal on October 4. It took almost ten days for cyclone Hudhud to gradually transform into a very sever cyclone and make landfall at Visakhapatnam in Andhra Pradesh on October 12.

Severe cyclones like Hudhud rob the Indian Ocean off significant amount of energy. At the same time the Ocean has tremendous potential to recoup. Most cyclones in Indian seas emerge along Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). So active ITCZ becomes one of the pre-conditions for a cyclone to form.

Once a disturbance originates in the Indian Seas, it needs favourable condition for its growth like sea surface temperature of more than 26 degrees Celcius and fvourable wind field, not having large wind shear.

The frequency of cyclones are 4-5 during an year, with highest numbers being during the Northeast Monsoon season. There is still two months to go before the storms calm down in December. At the moment there isn't any condition building in the Indian Seas for a cyclone to form for at least two weeks, bringing a huge relief to the cyclone hit areas of coastal Andhra Pradesh and Odisha. Skymet will be tracking all the developments in the Indian Seas and will keep you updated.

 






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