The state of Madhya Pradesh saw intense rains a few days ago coupled with hailstorm activities, resulting in massive crop damage across the state.
However, the state continues to remain rain deficient. In fact, West Madhya Pradesh is at present 60 percent rain deficient while East Madhya Pradesh is deficit by 34 percent. Now, the weather has become dry over most parts of Madhya Pradesh for the last few days. Talking about the temperatures over the state, maximums are settling below normal by two to three degrees Celsius over many parts of the state. Minimums are also marginally below normal.
However, now, a confluence zone, i.e. the merger of Northwesterly winds with humid southeasterly winds, is likely to form around February 21, due to which parts of the state, particularly eastern and adjoining western regions including Guna, Gwalior, Damoh, Satna, Jabalpur, Umaria, Sidhi, Satna and Rewa will get scattered rainfall activity.
Hailstorm activity is not expected this time, thus crop damage is not expected over the state unlike the last spell.
On the other hand, North Madhya Pradesh will see rainfall activity in view of an induced Cyclonic Circulation over Rajasthan and adjoining areas along with a trough which will extend up to North Madhya Pradesh.
These showers are likely to continue until February 23 over eastern regions. During this time, Ujjain, Ratlam, Indore are likely to remain almost dry. These rains will not be intense due to which the deficiency is not likely to see a massive improvement as such.
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