Northeast India has literally starved this pre-monsoon season. Region otherwise known for disaster-prone weather activity has largely escaped the furious weather so far. All the seven states are reeling with the scarcity of the kind of deficit to large deficit across the heterogeneous region. While the rainiest amongst all, Assam, Meghalaya, and Arunachal Pradesh are deficit with a shortfall 0f 40-50% rainfall, the contiguous states of Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura are nearly facing drought conditions with deficiency of nearly 70%.
The month of May is full with hopes of reviving weather conditions and the next week will see the shortfall margins getting drowned with widespread rain and thundershowers drenching the complete pockets, albeit more in the north than the southern ones. Assam, Meghalaya, and Arunachal Pradesh will face stormy conditions with high-velocity winds and lightning strikes. The state of Nagaland also will have the peripheral effect with its mountainous terrain adding to the intensity of severe weather. The North-South stretch of the other 3 states, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura will also be lashed with intermittent thunderstorms and squally winds. Most of this activity across the region will take place during the evening and night with sufficient breaks during the day.
The cyclonic circulation over Bihar and Jharkhand is likely to displace eastward along the foothills, though slowly over the next 2-3 days. It is going to drag the trough along with North Assam and Arunachal Pradesh. Small-scale cyclonic circulation may also be embedded in this feature enhancing the thunderstorm activity. The Bay of Bengal is providing the moisture support for the penultimate climax resulting inclement weather conditions lasting for nearly one week or beyond with short breaks in between. Persistent weather activity may as well result in some landslides and disruption in communication and connectivity. Advise taking all precautions to secure life and assets.