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Skymet Weather Forecasts Above Normal Monsoon for India in 2016

Skymet Weather Forecasts Above Normal Monsoon for India in 2016

09:25 AM

According to Skymet Weather, Monsoon 2016 is likely to remain above than the normal at 105% (with an error margin of +/-4%) of the long period average (LPA) of 887 mm for the four-month period from June to September.

According to Skymet Weather, Monsoon probabilities for JJAS are:

• 20% chance of excess (seasonal rainfall that is more than 110% of LPA)
• 35% chance of above normal (seasonal rainfall that is between 105 to 110% of LPA)
• 30% chance of normal (seasonal rainfall that is between 96 to 104% of LPA)
• 10% chance of below normal (seasonal rainfall that is between 90 to 95% of LPA)
• 5% chance of drought (seasonal rainfall that is less than 90% of LPA)

2016 Skymet Weather Monsoon Forecast

On a monthly scale, the precipitation foreshadow is as follows:

June – 90% of LPA (LPA for June = 164 mm)

• 50% chance of normal
• 20% chance of above normal
• 30% chance of below normal

July – 105% of LPA (LPA for July= 289 mm)

• 60% chance of normal
• 25% chance of above normal
• 15% chance of below normal

August – 108% of LPA (LPA for August = 261 mm)

• 60% chance of normal
• 30% chance of above normal
• 10% chance of below normal

September – 115% of LPA (LPA for September = 173 mm)

• 50% chance of normal
• 40% chance of above normal
• 10% chance of below normal

To download Skymet Weather's Monsoon Foreshadow report, click here

 


 

21 thoughts on “Skymet Weather Forecasts Above Normal Monsoon for India in 2016

  1. mehul desai

    great. for the nation and people. please give region wise detail, if possible. thanks.

  2. Premal Joisher

    In the maps on your foreshadow report there is a comment over Rajasthan saying “Poor Signal”; what does that mean?

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