Winter 2019 to pave way for El Nino

January 17, 2019 8:55 AM |

Weather in IndiaEl Niño have been the talk of the town ever since the second half of 2018. After reiterating for long that El Niño would make an appearance during the fall, the time has finally arrived for one of the most dreaded weather phenomena.

As per the latest prediction by the leading weather models, there are 90% probability of El Niño conditions during January. In fact, weathermen are of the view that there 65% chances for El Niño to continue through the Northern Hemisphere spring 2019. Thereafter, dropping gradually with 50% chances or below during the Monsoon 2019 or we can say it would enter devolving phase. Following picture would help you understand better.

El nino weather modelAccording to AVM GP Sharma, President-Meteorology, Skymet Weather, the most favorable time period for El Niño’s growth and sustenance is from Autumn to Spring. During summer months, there are lot of seasonal variations which is not very conducive for sustenance of El Niño.

Talking about the Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs), they continue to settle above average across most parts of the Pacific Ocean. Here’s a look at the recent Nino Index (in °C):

El nino tempDuring December, sea surface temperatures (SST) anomaly in Nino 3.4 region, which is a deciding factor for declaring El Niño has seen some decline. However, it still continues to be in the neutral limits and also that some fluctuations in between are considered to be normal.

Image Credit:en.wikipedia.org

Any information taken from here should be credited to skymetweather.com

Weather Forecast

Other Latest Stories

Weather on Twitter
Fairly widespread #rain and #thundershowers will continue over most parts of Northeast India, #Sikkim and #Andamant.co/p5GtO36joZ
Monday, May 27 15:30Reply
#Weather alert for #Odisha #Rain and #thundershower at some places with strong gusty wind will occur over multiple… t.co/GEoFrqq8Tg
Monday, May 27 15:02Reply
By the last week of May, #Mumbai starts experiencing #rain and #thundershower activities, but this time the scenari… t.co/euEVktUpnY
Monday, May 27 14:30Reply
From May 30, #rain intensity will be heavy to very heavy at times especially over #ArunachalPradesh, #Assam,… t.co/donYxGEwjl
Monday, May 27 13:23Reply
As the ramifications of #ClimateChange are changing every day, it’s not just a ‘change’ in climate anymore. It is… t.co/By3730f2cA
Monday, May 27 11:33Reply
We second you Mr. Founder t.co/pqHl9fpuxP
Monday, May 27 11:26Reply
RT @Villgro: We incubated some of the FIRST innovative ideas, & today, they are one of the LARGEST companies. This week's #Villimpact spotl…
Monday, May 27 10:35Reply
Have a look at the day and night temperatures for major cities of India on May 27. #SkymetWeather #Rain t.co/k4HS2DXlqD
Monday, May 27 10:30Reply
Here's what you need to know about today's #weather! t.co/Mm4STB6Utx
Monday, May 27 10:00Reply
27 मई मौसम पूर्वानुमान: महाराष्ट्र के साथ राजस्थान और उत्तर प्रदेश में भी भीषण लू का प्रकोप t.co/zLzVoCAMQV
Sunday, May 26 20:13Reply

latest news

USAID Skymet Partnership

Skymet weather

Download the Skymet App

Our app is available for download so give it a try