Like the beginning, January seems to end with a bang too. Series of active Western Disturbances have painted the hilly states of Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh white. According to Skymet Weather, rain and snow of varying intensity had engulfed the hilly states.
However, these systems have failed to give any weather activity over the northwestern plains of Punjab, Haryana, Delhi-NCR, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh. The only impact that was seen was the change in wind pattern from cold north westerlies to comparatively warm easterlies.
But now the time has finally come when the northwestern plains are all to witness widespread rain and thundershowers activities. Weathermen are anticipating another fresh Western Disturbance which is touted as the strongest system so far in the season.
The disturbance would start impacting weather over Jammu and Kashmir by January 20 and at the same time it would also induce a cyclonic circulation over Central Pakistan and adjoining Rajasthan and Punjab.
According to Skymet Weather, both the Western Disturbance and its cyclonic circulation would be moving in tandem eastwards. It is seen, whenever two system move together, they tend to give prolonged weather activity as they keep complementing each other. Going by this, weather models are indicating that the approaching would at least last till January 25.
Lightning and thunderstorm are also expected during this time, along with bright chances of hailstorm.
As a result, weather would get cloudy over parts of Rajasthan and Punjab by the evening of January 20 itself. Rains would start making appearance over parts of Rajasthan and Punjab by January 21. Places like Sriganganagar, Hanumangarh, Jhunjhunu, Sikar, Jaipur, Amritsar, Ludhiana, Patiala, Chandigarh, and Bhatinda would start receiving rains.
Intensity and spread of rains would keep on increasing gradually. In fact, rains are likely to peak on January 22-23. By January 22, along with Punjab and North Rajasthan, parts of Haryana and Delhi-NCR would also start recording rains. Places like Ambala, Karnal, Kurukshetra, Hisar, Bhiwani, Jind, Rohtak, Panipat, Delhi, Gurugram, Noida and Faridabad would then start receiving rains.
Chances are there that few places might even record moderate to heavy rains at one or two places on January 22-23.
However, intensity rains would be more over Punjab and Haryana.
Parts of Uttar Pradesh including capital city of Lucknow, Bareilly, Moradabad, Muzaffarnagar and Agra would start receiving rains on January 23 and 24.
Cold Day Conditions
Till now, arrival of Western Disturbance had only resulted in cut of cold northwesterly winds from reaching the plains of Northwest India. As a result, cold day conditions had been missing from the plains.
Cold day conditions are declared when day temperatures drop under 16°C. Usually, these conditions are seen during December only. However, these conditions would finally make an appearance.
Image Credits – Pradeepkisan
Any information taken from here should be credited to Skymet Weather