Monsoon Rains Take a One-Week Break From Delhi: Temperatures Set To Rise
Representational Image: AI-Skymet
Key Takeaways:
- Delhi-NCR is expected to remain largely dry for the next week as the monsoon trough shifts north of the region.
- Safdarjung recorded 72.6 mm and 33.6 mm of rainfall on July 9 and 10, taking July's total to 120.4 mm.
- The recent rainfall lowered daytime temperatures by 6°C to 8°C, with the maximum dropping to 29.2°C.
- Temperatures are now expected to rise steadily, reaching around 37°C over the weekend.
- Forecast Validity: Next 5 to 7 Days.
Typical monsoon showers are set to take a long pause over the Delhi region, tentatively for over a week. The capital city and its suburbs received moderate to heavy showers over the last two days. However, the monsoon rains ceased yesterday afternoon, and no further rainfall has been recorded since then. During the last two days, rainfall was widespread and heavy, with some locations even crossing the 100 mm mark in 24 hours. The base station at Safdarjung recorded 72.6 mm of rainfall on July 9 and 33.6 mm on July 10. No rainfall has been recorded since 12:30 p.m. yesterday.
Safdarjung has collected 120.4 mm of rainfall during the first ten days of July, which is reasonably good. The normal rainfall for the entire month of July stands at 195.8 mm. Earlier, the base observatory recorded its highest 24-hour rainfall in the last three years on the morning of July 9. The heavy rainfall of 72.6 mm exceeded the previous 24-hour totals of 68.1 mm and 39.4 mm recorded on July 30, 2025, and July 26, respectively. Prior to that, Delhi had witnessed heavy spells with rainfall exceeding 100 mm in 24 hours during 2021, 2022, and 2023. The all-time highest 24-hour rainfall remains 266.2 mm, recorded on July 21, 1958.
Persistent widespread rains over the Delhi region brought down the day temperatures by 6°C to 8°C. The maximum temperature settled at 29.2°C yesterday, about 7.4°C below normal and the lowest recorded since the pre-monsoon season of 2026. Minimum temperatures also remained 3°C to 4°C below normal during the last two days. However, with the rains receding and winds returning to the westerly direction, temperatures are expected to rise to around 37°C over the weekend. Today, the maximum temperature is likely to reach around 35°C (±1°C).
The low-pressure area over northwest Madhya Pradesh, which had earlier oscillated the monsoon trough and triggered heavy rains over Delhi, has now shifted to the central parts of Uttar Pradesh, closer to the foothills. The weather system has weakened and is likely to dissipate along the foothills. Consequently, the monsoon trough has shifted north of Delhi. Though it is not very far away, it is sufficiently displaced to prevent any significant weather activity over the region. It is expected to remain in this position, with the western end of the monsoon trough continuing to stay well north of its normal location. At best, there could be a very light sprinkle over isolated pockets for a short duration during the next two days. Even such activity appears unlikely, and practically, rainfall is expected to remain absent for about the next week, or possibly even longer.
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