Severe Cyclone Murasu Nears Andhra Coast, Landfall Likely Tonight

By: Mahesh Palawat | Edited By: Arti Kumari
Nov 2, 2026, 1:45 PM
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Key Takeaways:

  • Severe Cyclonic Storm Murasu is forecast to make landfall near Ongole between late November 2 and early November 3.
  • Maximum sustained winds of 100–110 kmph, gusting to 120 kmph, are expected near the crossing point.
  • Extremely heavy rainfall is forecast over coastal Andhra Pradesh on November 2–3, with very heavy rain possible in Rayalaseema.
  • Storm surge levels of 1–1.5 metres above the astronomical tide may affect vulnerable coastal areas, particularly around Bapatla, Krishna and Prakasam.
  • Forecast Validity: Till next update on MURASU.

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Severe Cyclonic Storm Murasu is approaching southern Andhra Pradesh, with landfall expected near Ongole between late November 2 and early November 3. The anticipated crossing carries maximum sustained winds of 100–110 kmph, gusting to 120 kmph. Extremely heavy rainfall warnings cover coastal Andhra Pradesh on both days, making the next 24–36 hours particularly important for coastal preparedness, agriculture and travel. The precise crossing point and timing remain subject to subsequent updates.

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At 5:30 AM IST on November 2, Murasu was centred near latitude 13.9°N and longitude 81.8°E, approximately 210 kilometres east-southeast of Nellore and 260 kilometres southeast of Ongole. The system had reached severe cyclonic storm intensity. It is expected to move northwestwards towards the coast. These distances refer to the early-morning observation rather than its position at publication time.

The cyclone’s organised circulation is concentrating moisture and rain-bearing clouds towards the coast. Weather can deteriorate well before the centre arrives, as outer rain bands move inland. IMD’s latest subdivision warning retains extremely heavy rain over coastal Andhra Pradesh on November 2 and 3, while Rayalaseema faces very heavy rain. The intensity categories apply to affected locations, not uniformly to every district. Heavy rain may continue locally over coastal Andhra Pradesh on November 4 as the peak threat subsides.

Storm surge presents an additional hazard around landfall. We expect water levels about 1–1.5 metres above the astronomical tide in vulnerable southern coastal areas, with the largest surge expected around Bapatla and also in Krishna and Prakasam districts. Great Danger port signals have been displayed at several southern Andhra ports. Surge forecasts describe a potential rise above the expected tide; they are not measurements of waves or confirmed inundation.

Coastal residents should follow evacuation instructions, secure loose materials and keep essential medicines, drinking water and documents ready. Fishermen and small-craft operators should obey harbour restrictions and remain away from dangerous waters. Farmers should protect harvested produce and avoid exposed fieldwork during squalls. Travel disruption is possible, but specific cancellations require confirmation from operators. Even after winds weaken, flooded roads, fallen electricity lines and damaged structures may remain hazardous.

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Mahesh Palawat
Vice President of Meteorology & Climate Change
Mr. Palawat, Vice President of Meteorology & Climate Change, is a former Air Force boxer and a passionate weather enthusiast. Dedicated to tracking and predicting weather for the benefit of farmers and the general public, he has been an integral part of Skymet since its inception.
FAQ

According to the November 2 forecast, Cyclone Murasu was expected to cross the southern Andhra Pradesh coast between Nellore and Narsapur, south of Ongole, between 11:30 PM on November 2 and 4:00 AM on November 3, 2026.

The cyclone was forecast to produce maximum sustained winds of 100–110 kmph, with gusts reaching 120 kmph during landfall.

Coastal Andhra Pradesh faces extremely heavy rainfall, while Rayalaseema may experience very heavy rain. Vulnerable coastal areas around Bapatla, Krishna and Prakasam face potential storm surge impacts, with water levels possibly rising 1–1.5 metres above the astronomical tide.

Disclaimer: This analysis is based on Skymet’s proprietary weather database, internal forecast models, station observations, climatological datasets, and expert meteorological interpretation by the Skymet Weather team. While every effort is made to ensure scientific accuracy, weather conditions are dynamic and may evolve over time. This assessment is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered an absolute or guaranteed prediction.

Skymet is India’s most accurate private weather forecasting and climate intelligence company, providing reliable weather data, monsoon updates, and agri-risk management solutions across the country.