Northeast Monsoon set in on October 21 with a very soft start. Since then, the region has been generally quiet and rainfall activity remained mostly absent.
Yesterday, for the first time this season, rainfall activity picked up pace and some intense activities were observed but they remained confined to Tamil Nadu and Kerala. Rainfall also touched coastal parts of Karnataka but the region does not come under one of the subdivisions for the Northeast Monsoon.
Today and tomorrow, we can expect good rains mostly moderate showers in Tamil Nadu and Kerala. However, rains over Coastal Tamil Nadu might be a little heavier.
We can expect a short break around November 1, however, that breather will be really small as rains will pick up once again on November 2. We do not expect any flooding or intense rains during that time. However, the rain spread will be good and South Interior Karnataka might see some showers as well, November 2 onward.