Kerala: Only State For Activity Next Three Days
Key Takeaways:
- Most parts of India will remain largely dry during the remaining days of February, with no significant weather activity expected.
- Kerala will be the only region witnessing scattered rain and thundershowers between February 25 and 28.
- Rising temperatures across Tamil Nadu and Kerala indicate the early onset of pre-monsoon conditions.
- Wind discontinuity and a feeble cyclonic circulation over the Southeast Arabian Sea are driving the current weather activity.
There is least weather activity likely over the country during the remaining days of February. Except for very high reaches of Jammu & Kashmir and elevated parts of Arunachal Pradesh, no weather activity is expected over the country, outside Kerala. The state of Kerala has witnessed scattered rain and thundershowers over the last 3-4 days, and the same will continue till the end of the month.
Day temperatures have been rising over the states of Tamil Nadu and Kerala, as a precursor to the pre-monsoon. Though some other features are finding place over the interiors of South Peninsula, the typical conditions may take a little more time to establish. Erode, Salem, Paramathy, Cochin, and Punalur are some of the places catching up with heat. The highest maximum temperature of 37.8°C was recorded at Erode (Tamil Nadu) yesterday. All these places mentioned earlier registered temperatures in excess of 35°C in the past 24 hours. The pattern will remain same during this week.
A classical feature of pre-monsoon, the north-south wind discontinuity over the interiors of South India, drives the weather conditions over the region. The wind discontinuity is marked extending from Vidarbha to the southern tip of the country across Interior Karnataka and Rayalaseema, and the border areas of Tamil Nadu and Kerala. The feature is in nascent stage right now and is likely to become more marked at the start of March itself.
There is a feeble cyclonic circulation marked over Southeast Arabian Sea and off North Kerala coast in the lower levels of atmosphere. Along with this, the north-south discontinuity has triggered rain-thunderstorm activity, largely over Kerala and sparingly over interior Tamil Nadu during the last 3 days. Kozhikode, Thrissur, Cochin, Punalur, and Thiruvananthapuram have received a decent opening spell of pre-monsoon showers during the last 3–4 days.
The wind discontinuity has an inbuilt characteristic of east-west oscillation. This also leads to shift of weather activity in the respective areas. Currently, this discontinuity is displaced westward, closer to the interior parts of Kerala, away from the coast. Under the combined influence of wind discontinuity and cyclonic circulation over Southeast Arabian Sea, scattered rain and thundershowers are likely over Kerala for the next four days, between 25th and 28th February 2026. The intensity will be mild to moderate and spread will be isolated to scattered places. This is the exclusive pocket, all across the country, likely to witness weather activity during remaining days of February.
