Rain-Snow In The Mountains: Dry Weather Elsewhere Over Country

The month of January 2025 remained warmer and drier for the country. Following the same track, the opening days of February have remained lean and scanty with weather activity confined to the hills. The plains across the north, west, center and east have mostly drawn a blank and there is hardly any improvement in the seasonal rainfall deficit. Looking ahead, nothing seems encouraging for a major part of February.

Western disturbances have been moving across the northern mountains. However, the weather systems have mostly been weak and resulted in inadequate rain and snow. The latest western disturbance has exited the hills of North India. Only the specks of this system will have minuscule activity, and the hills will remain practically dry over the next 48 hours. The fresh weather system will approach the Western Himalayas in the late hours of 08th Feb. Thereafter, the northern mountains will witness light rain and scattered snow for the next 5-6 days, till 12th Feb 2025. The intensity and spread of weather activity will be very nominal and rather subdued at times. The plains of North India will remain out of the ambit of the wet spell.

There is no weather system to influence activity over the western, central and eastern parts. States across Gujarat, Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Bihar, Jharkhand and West Bengal will have a fair weather week between 07th and 14th Feb 2025. The dry spell may extend further into the third week of the month.

The southern parts of the country have also gone silent for about the last one week. There is no active weather system moving across the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea. The entire region is likely to stay dormant till the second week of February. In between, the northward extension of a trough from the cyclonic circulation moving across Sri Lanka, Comorin and the Maldives may leave a light sprinkle over coastal Tamil Nadu during 08th to 11th Feb. Rest of the other parts of the South Peninsula will stay free from any weather activity during this period.

Overall, the country will have a lean phase of weather activity across all parts. The temperatures may stay above the normal in many parts. Seasonal rainfall deficit may increase further over the Indian region.