Skymet Weather Forecast August 12: Heavy Rain Over MP, Rajasthan, Himachal, Uttarakhand, WB & Odisha

By: Mahesh Palawat | Edited By: Arti Kumari
Aug 11, 2026, 11:45 AM
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Skymet Weekly Intelligence — 10 August 2026

Key Takeaways:

  • Moderate to heavy rainfall may occur over Madhya Pradesh under the influence of the prevailing low-pressure area.
  • Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Coastal Karnataka and Kerala may witness light to moderate rain with a few heavy spells.
  • Light to moderate rainfall is possible across several parts of North, East and West India, including Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Punjab, Jharkhand and West Bengal.
  • A fresh low-pressure area is likely to form over the Northwest Bay of Bengal and adjoining areas around August 13.
  • Forecast Validity: Next 24 hours.
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The Weather Systems Over The Country

The low-pressure area is over Northwest Madhya Pradesh and adjoining areas. The associated cyclonic circulation extends up to 5.8 km above mean sea level, tilting southwards with height.

The monsoon trough at mean sea level is passing through Bikaner, the centre of the low-pressure area over Northwest Madhya Pradesh, Daltonganj, Digha, and then in a southeast direction towards the East-Central Bay of Bengal. It extends up to 1.5 km above mean sea level.

A cyclonic circulation is over the Northwest Bay of Bengal and adjoining areas, extending up to 7.6 km above mean sea level and tilting southwestwards with height. Under its influence, a low-pressure area is likely to form over the same region around August 12.

A cyclonic circulation is over Southeast Himachal Pradesh and adjoining areas at 1.5 km above mean sea level.

A shear zone is roughly along latitude 22°N across Central and adjoining North Peninsular India, between 3.1 and 7.6 km above mean sea level.

Weather Activities During The Last 24 Hours

During the last 24 hours, light to moderate rain with a few heavy spells occurred over Madhya Pradesh, parts of Chhattisgarh, Konkan and Goa, Himachal Pradesh, North Punjab, Chhattisgarh, and Gangetic West Bengal.

Light to moderate rain occurred over Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, West Bengal, Sikkim, Odisha, parts of Bihar, Jharkhand, Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, East Rajasthan, Gujarat region, Konkan and Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, parts of Marathwada, Karnataka, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, North Tamil Nadu, and Andaman and Nicobar Islands.

Light rain occurred over Saurashtra and Kutch, West Rajasthan, parts of Delhi, Assam, Meghalaya, Lakshadweep, Kerala, and Interior Tamil Nadu.

Forecast

During the next 24 hours, light to moderate rain with a few heavy spells is possible over West and North Madhya Pradesh, East Rajasthan, Konkan and Goa, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Gangetic West Bengal, and parts of Odisha.

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Light to moderate rain is possible over Northeast India, Jharkhand, East Madhya Pradesh, West Uttar Pradesh, Delhi, Punjab, Haryana, Jammu and Kashmir, Gujarat region, Vidarbha, Marathwada, Madhya Maharashtra, Coastal Karnataka, Kerala, Lakshadweep, Andaman and Nicobar Islands, and Coastal Andhra Pradesh.

Light rain is possible over Rayalaseema, Tamil Nadu, Interior Karnataka, Saurashtra and Kutch, East Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Ladakh, and western parts of Rajasthan.

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Mahesh Palawat
Vice President of Meteorology & Climate Change
Mr. Palawat, Vice President of Meteorology & Climate Change, is a former Air Force boxer and a passionate weather enthusiast. Dedicated to tracking and predicting weather for the benefit of farmers and the general public, he has been an integral part of Skymet since its inception.
FAQ

Light to moderate rain with a few heavy spells is possible over West and North Madhya Pradesh, East Rajasthan, Konkan and Goa, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Gangetic West Bengal and parts of Odisha.

Yes. A cyclonic circulation persists over the Northwest Bay of Bengal and adjoining areas, and under its influence, a low-pressure area is likely to form over the same region around August 12.

Light to moderate rainfall is possible over Delhi during the forecast period.

Disclaimer: This analysis is based on Skymet’s proprietary weather database, internal forecast models, station observations, climatological datasets, and expert meteorological interpretation by the Skymet Weather team. While every effort is made to ensure scientific accuracy, weather conditions are dynamic and may evolve over time. This assessment is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered an absolute or guaranteed prediction.

Skymet is India’s most accurate private weather forecasting and climate intelligence company, providing reliable weather data, monsoon updates, and agri-risk management solutions across the country.