Deep Depression Crosses Myanmar Coast -Weakens Rapidly: No Threat To East Coast

By: AVM GP Sharma | Edited By: Arti Kumari
Sep 29, 2026, 12:30 PM
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Key Takeaways:

  • The deep depression has weakened into a depression after crossing the Myanmar Coast and moving inland.
  • The system is expected to weaken further into a low-pressure area within the next 6-8 hours.
  • Remnants may reach Northeast India, bringing scattered rain and thundershowers to Tripura and Mizoram around mid-week.
  • The system is unlikely to disrupt monsoon withdrawal and may help the retreat process resume soon.
  • Forecast Validity: Until Next Update.

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Yesterday’s depression over the Northeast Bay of Bengal and Myanmar Coast had intensified into a deep depression. The system crossed the Myanmar Coast through the Irrawaddy Delta, also called Ayeyarwady, next to the Gulf of Martaban. As expected, due to land interaction, the low-level cyclonic circulation of the system started deteriorating rapidly. The sharp features of the circulation noticed earlier continued pushing inland and fading gradually.

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The weather system has already weakened into a depression. It is centred deep inland to the northeast of Yangon. It is no longer a suspect for any significant development. Rather, it is expected to weaken into a low-pressure area in the next 6-8 hours. It will continue to move towards Bangladesh and the border areas of Myanmar. Later, the remnants of the system may reach the southeastern region of Northeast India. Tripura and Mizoram may find scattered rain and thundershowers around mid-week.

As the depression draws further away from the East Coast and weakens too, there is no chance of any significant weather over the coastline. Yes, shallow clouds and light rainfall will persist for about the next three days. As the low pressure will move at a safe distance from mainland India, it will not affect the process of monsoon withdrawal from the western and central parts of the country. Instead, it may now help the retreat commence very soon.

Back-to-back weather systems over the Bay of Bengal during the last ten days may be taken as a precursor for more cyclonic activity over the Indian Seas, as the post-monsoon season starts shortly.

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AVM GP Sharma
President of Meteorology & Climate Change
AVM Sharma, President of Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet Weather Services, is a retired Indian Air Force officer who previously led the Meteorological Branch at Air Headquarters in New Delhi. With over a decade of experience at Skymet, he brings a wealth of knowledge and expertise to the organization.
FAQ

The system has moved inland over Myanmar after crossing the coast and has weakened from a deep depression into a depression.

The remnants may reach southeastern parts of Northeast India, with Tripura and Mizoram likely to receive scattered rain and thundershowers around mid-week.

The system is moving at a safe distance from mainland India and is unlikely to hinder monsoon withdrawal from western and central parts of the country.

Disclaimer: This analysis is based on Skymet’s proprietary weather database, internal forecast models, station observations, climatological datasets, and expert meteorological interpretation by the Skymet Weather team. While every effort is made to ensure scientific accuracy, weather conditions are dynamic and may evolve over time. This assessment is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered an absolute or guaranteed prediction.

Skymet is India’s most accurate private weather forecasting and climate intelligence company, providing reliable weather data, monsoon updates, and agri-risk management solutions across the country.