Skymet weather

World bank warns temperatures could rise by 4 degrees in about 50 years

New Delhi, The Word Bank has warned that without immediate action global temperatures could rise up to 4 degrees in the next 50 years. Global temperatures have already risen about 0.8 degrees. This unprecedented rise in temperature comes with increased risk of extreme rainfall and drought.

River basins like the Ganga would be particularly vulnerable to changes in seasonal runoff, which would affect availability of water. It would also lead to inundation of coastal areas. And India with its long coastline would be vulnerable.

Acidity of seas is expected to rise at an unprecedented level as well, threatening the livelihood of millions of fishermen. Ensuring adequate food and agricultural output to meet the demands of a rising population and levels of income will then be a greater challenge.

At Cancun in 2010, countries had agreed to contain global temperature to 2 degrees by 2100. However, the scientists and analysts have maintained that action being taken by countries to reduce emissions is not enough to meet this temperature goal. Further talks on climate change, sponsored by the United Nations, are expected next week at Doha.

Weather helps to reduce dengue cases in New Delhi

New Delhi, Persisting low minimum and maximum temperatures and smog have lent a hand to put a break on the spread of dengue as less number of cases have been reported in the month of November compared to September and October in the national capital New Delhi.

The continuous low temperatures and smog around Diwali have largely stopped the breeding of dengue mosquitoes and as the winter is about to set in, dengue menace would be finally over within a fortnight or so.

Though cases are still being reported but a usual 10-14 days is the incubation period (the time between being exposed to infection and showing first symptoms) for the disease to show up after a person is bitten. So even if smog and change in temperatures have reduced mosquito breeding, cases will continue to be reported for a few more days.

1799 cases of dengue cases have been reported in New Delhi until now including four proving fatal. Dengue mosquito starts breeding just towards the end of the monsoon season as it did this season.

Low pressure area in the Bay of Bengal likely to make landfall; another Western Disturbance to arrive over J&K

New Delhi, The low pressure area in west-central Bay of Bengal and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal, off coastal Andhra Pradesh, is likely to make a landfall during the next 24 hours. The Western Disturbance persisting over Jammu & Kashmir is likely to move out of the region during the next 24 hours but another Western Disturbance is expected to follow up the system in the next few days.

The well-marked low pressure area off coastal Andhra Pradesh is expected to make a landfall during the next 24 hours and it is likely to weaken further. Under its influence, heavy rain is expected along the Andhra coast at one or two places. Light to moderate rain would continue at a few places in south Andhra Pradesh and at many places along its coast during the next 48 hours. Rain would decrease after this period.

However, the weakening system would further move towards interiors of southern Peninsula over Rayalaseema, Tamil Nadu and Kerala. Rain would be witnessed at a few places over Rayalaseema and at one or two places over Tamil Nadu and Kerala during the next 24 hours. Rain would increase over Tamil Nadu and Kerala and more places will experience rain thereafter.

In the north, the Western Disturbance(moist and warm winds originating in the Mediterranean Sea)  over Jammu & Kashmir and its neighborhood is moving east-northeastwards and it is expected to exit from the region during the next 24 hours. It will give snowfall at a few places over Jammu & Kashmir and at one or two places overHimachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand.

The weather over northwest, central and east India became colder and drier after the exit of the Western Disturbance in the past due to resumption of cool and dry northerlies as well as the melting of ice, but that will not take place this time as another Western Disturbance may make an entry again to stop the flow of northerly winds after 48 to 72 hours. The coming Western Disturbance is persisting over north Pakistan as of now.

Mumbai to get reprieve from chill

New Delhi, The fall in minimum temperature over the commercial capital Mumbai is expected to come to a gradual halt during the next 48 hours. This would certainly provide relief to Mumbaikars who were reeling under the effect of high maximum temperatures and low minimums. The maximum temperature over Mumbai is recorded to be around 33 degrees while the minimum nosedived by almost four degrees (from 20 to 16) during the last few days.

The winds (easterly) associated with the low pressure area (in the Bay of Bengal) are expected to send moisture and clouds that would impact the prevailing minimum and the maximum temperatures. The cloudiness will block radiation (heat) received from the sun while the same reason would not let the maximum temperatures not rise much.

So, from tomorrow onwards, the fall in the minimum temperature would be arrested and an increasing trend would be witnessed. There would be incursion of moisture from the easterly winds from November 23.

Mumbai is hosting the second test match between England and India between November 23 and November 27 and the weather is expected to be perfect during the first three days of the match. But the players would have to sweat more on the fourth and the fifth days of the match due to the arrival of more moisture and consequent spike in humidity.

Pirates of the Indian Ocean obstruct weather data collection

New Delhi, The problem of piracy in the Indian Ocean is hampering the collection of accurate water surface temperatures by international weather forecasting agencies that indirectly affect India's long-range forecasts.
India depends upon global agencies for the prediction of El Nino and the Indian Ocean Diapole (IOD) phenomena, both of which went wrong this year.
The tropical western Indian Ocean is an important region because the western pole of the Indian Ocean Dipole, which is an atmosphere-ocean coupled climate mode in the Indian Ocean, is similar to the El Nino phenomenon in the Pacific Ocean.
Changes in subsurface ocean conditions in the western Indian Ocean are a key input for the prediction of IOD events and the monsoon system.

In 2012, most weather forecast agencies across the world failed to predict the IOD correctly. In April, it was predicted to be negative, due to which a drought was predicted for India. The IOD was predicted to be negative based on sea surface temperatures. But data about subsurface ocean conditions remain unavailable due to the problem of pirates in this region.

Rainfall in the later half of monsoon improved against our expectation as El Nino did not happen and IOD was positive. Both of this helped to improve monsoon rainfall to 92 per cent.

Several international weather data collection projects are reeling under the impact of rampant piracy along the African coast.

Taking care of aches in winter

New Delhi, Do you complain of worsening pain during winters? Well that’s because the low temperature leads to increase in the aching body parts as during cold weather the body conserves warm blood around the heart and circulates less blood to the other peripheral areas because of which joints become stiffer leading to reduced mobility and thus the pain increases. When the skin is colder, pain sensors work more, which is why we feel more hurt. Here we are offering some tips for patients with joint pain:

Warm clothes

Cold weather tends to create lifestyle conditions that can lead to arthritic symptoms. Keep yourself warm with gloves on your hands. Woolen layers over knees and legs will also help in minimizing pain. Warm clothes raise the temperature in that part of the body and increase local blood flow aiding in relieving pain. People with joint pain should keep themselves active with indoor exercises.

Swimming and warm baths

Swimming in a heated pool is both great exercise and soothing for joints. You can also get relief from warm baths. But don't go right out into the cold immediately after, let your body temperature normalize a bit first.

Vitamin D intake

Being deficient in vitamin D might make osteoarthritis worse as there is lesser sunshine in the winter reducing the absorption of vitamin D in the body. So this is a good time to take a supplement or make sure your diet is vitamin D-rich.

Solid and supportive shoes

When the weather turns cool, people with arthritis need to protect their joints from further damage. If going outside, they should pick solid, supportive shoes with good treads and try to walk on a surface with adequate friction.

These suggestions could help you keep safe in the winter, make sure you keep them in mind and enjoy the winter!

Let’s love the Winter

New Delhi, Are you ready for the hoodies, hot sips of coffee, cozy quilts and the cold cold nights. Winters are here and the people of Delhi, Punjab, Harayana and J&K are absolutely loving it! While for some it is the best time to snuggle up and laze around in their pyjamas all day, it is also the most preferred time for travelers to head out, enjoy the chill and see new places.

Shallow fog in the early morning hours and night temperatures dropping as low as 9.6⁰C in the Capital (coldest of this season) have been warmly welcomed by Delhiites. “I eagerly await the winter season every year as this the best time to go to the Lodhi gardens for walk on a wintry morning”, says Mrighna Iyer, a resident of the Lodhi colony. While winter fairs and melas are being held at Delhi Haat with the best jaipuri quilts and banarasi silks of all kinds are on display, the famous Monastery/Tibetan market near Kashmere Gate is swamped with winter clothing for men and women at amazingly low price tags.

Where minimum temperatures in Chandigarh and Amritsar have slipped to 9⁰C, chilly nights are being enjoyed at Jammu Kashmir as well. At a whopping -1⁰C (coldest of this season in J&K ) and snowfall expected by tonight, locals have already started preparing for the most preferred winter adventure games for honeymooners and foreign tourists and skiing enthusiasts. Haryana and Uttar Pradesh too recorded the lowest minimum so far at 8⁰ (Karnal) & 7⁰ (Sarsawa) respectively.

Such is the weather for the entire winter season because of the recurring western disturbance in the lower latitudes that pass through the Himalayan subcontinent at intervals, causing the temperatures of northwest India to drop. Not to be forgotten are also the dense fog days during this biting cold season that lead to a number of road accidents every year. Winter driving safety tips must be followed to avoid getting stuck in a hazardous situation as these. Though there are pros and cons of everything, journaling the icy months is something most of us anticipate, after all “wisdom comes with winter”!

Top five places in India for winter sports

New Delhi, Winter games have become more popular in India. Tourists from across the nation and from foreign countries travel to some parts of India to indulge in winter adventure sports.

Here we've selected the top five places in India for winter adventure sports.

Shimla: The capital of Himachal Pradesh along with Kufri, Shilon Bagh and Chail receives snowfall after the third week of December

Manali: A favourite among tourists looking to play along the fresh snow in the Solang Valley

Gulmarg: A better accessible venue, it ranks as India’s most visited ski resort. The snow here is considered one of the finest and skiing is quite the experience here.

Patnitop: Considered a stopover while heading to Jammu, it attracts several tourists looking for a winter thrill.

Kanatal: This all-season destination is 30 kms from Mussoorie, and offers some of the best views in the region.

We're hoping that you plan early on to catch the best of winter this year around.

Come December, a great time to visit New Delhi, Jaipur

New Delhi, The comfortable and dry daytime weather makes December a great time to visit north India. The day temperatures remain in the range of 20-21 degree Celsius over New Delhi. Day temperatures in Jaipur, the other major tourist draw in the region, remain in the same range.

The nights are however much colder as the mercury level hovers around 4-8 degrees Celsius. The night can also be greatly enjoyed by arranging a bonfire or spending it in warmth of a pub.

The cities of Delhi and Jaipur have also plenty of options for the sporting types, with polo, golf, croquet and other games being played here in winter.

A wintry day in the lush green parks of the region is a day well spent, notwithstanding a plethora of forts, palaces, museums, zoos and art galleries to visit.

Though one should ensure that the fog lights are working if driving to either of the two.  cities in winter as the region is prone to severe fogs in the season.

Chilly days in Karnataka; no rain for a week

New Delhi, A weak northeast monsoon in south Peninsula this year, frail easterly winds and an unhindered flow of the dry and cool northerly winds from the north India has led to an appreciable drop in the minimum temperatures, particularly over Karnataka.

With no or less rain, skies get clearer and radiation increases, thus this pattern of a fall in the night temperatures is seen. However, such a dip in the mercury levels is not particularly new for the people of Karnataka as they felt a similar cold wave last year too.

But the effect of the cold northerly winds has been felt way earlier compared to December last year. This year, the night temperatures fell by 4 to 5 degrees and Bangalore reached a minimum of 13⁰C, which is quite lower than the minimums experienced last year (15⁰C) during November.

What’s even more appalling is that the minimum in Chamarajanagar and Mysore has slipped to a low of 9⁰ and 11⁰C respectively, which is even lower than the minimum temperature in Delhi so far in this season. Such cold wave conditions will continue for the next two to three days in the region and there is no rain predicted for almost a week now.

This is a sweet treat for the locals who have welcomed this cold change in their lives in contrast to the usual wet humid days and have happily taken out their winter wear. This cold wave and no rain situation is not worrying for the farmers too who have already got enough, well distributed rain, from the northeast monsoon in the first few days of November for sowing their oilseed and pulse crops. Night temperatures have fallen by five degrees in parts of Tamil Nadu as well due to the penetration of these chilly northerly winds.

This frequent change in the weather every year, be it a storm or a cold wave, points out to the alarming issue of climate change. We can deal with this issue only by educating ourselves about climate change and following the weather in our region regularly.

No smog after Diwali, Delhiites rejoice

New Delhi, So much for the high level meeting of the officials from Delhi, Punjab, Uttar Pradesh and Haryana on Saturday to combat the troublesome smog situation in the capital and the adjoining areas for almost a week. The pollution levels had increased as high as seven times the permissible levels.

It was thus anticipated that the smog levels would increase further after the Diwali celebrations and would bother residents with low visibility and other smog related health irritants. But to everyone’s surprise, the increased wind speed early this morning, completely nullified the pollution levels.

People woke up to a light sunny and a pleasant morning, devoid of any smog. The winds that were calm till 5 am on November 14 picked up speed, reaching 10 kmph and swept away the thick moisture layer encircling entire northwest India. Cyclone Nilam that was responsible for the incursion of these moisture burdened winds to the north, lead to very high levels of smog. The visibility which was low till yesterday at 600 meters, increased to a good of 1.2 km this morning.

The Chief Minister of Delhi says she has already levied a few measures to control the smog levels from rising by charging a fine of Rs 2000 from vehicle owners who do not have pollution under control (PUC) certificate and restricting the entry of too many vehicles from the Uttar Pradesh and Haryana borders. The government has also assured to introduce short and long term measures in the near future to improve the air quality for people.

Coming weeks could be a little tough though, as an approaching Western Disturbance (November 17 onwards) could decrease the wind speeds and increase the chances of fog over the entire northwest. Occurrence of smog is also likely.

While goddess Laxmi did not shower as much wealth this Diwali and the price of rupee fell a few points, the weather gods have definitely shown some mercy! Delhiites have a smog free air to breathe, at least for a few days.

Unprecedented 2010 Leh flood caused by an unusual easterly wind

New Delhi, The August 2010 flash flood in Leh that killed 193 persons along with severe damage that rendered hundreds missing and thousands homeless was caused by heavy rains for three consecutive days. The unusual rainfall is attributed to an easterly wind that transported clouds formed high over the Tibetan Plateau to Leh. These clouds also gathered moisture from the Arabian Sea, fed by the southwesterly winds and from the Bay of Bengal through southeasterly winds.

Usually, such a large storm system does not develop as cloud formation ceases during the night. But in this case, cloud formation was fueled by incoming moisture laden winds from three directions (easterly, southeasterly and southwesterly) throughout the night. Average total rainfall over Leh in August is about half-inch. But more than 8 inches of rain was recorded during this 24 hour period.

This event is reminiscent of flooding in the Big Thompson Canyon in Colorado in 1976 and the Black Hills of South Dakota in 1972. In all these cases, large organized clouds gathered high in the mountains and drew moisture up the slope of the mountain into the storms. The resulting heavy rains are uncommon in mountains, where there typically isn't enough moisture to cause such drastic rain. They are also more dangerous than storms in the plains.







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