Typical Winter Chill Over For Mumbai: Warm Days Ahead

By: AVM GP Sharma | Edited By: Arti Kumari
Feb 3, 2026, 1:00 PM
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Key Takeaways:

  • January 2026 ended as one of the warmest in a decade for Mumbai
  • February has started unusually warm, with season’s highest temperatures so far
  • Typical winter chill is unlikely to return, though nights will stay relatively comfortable
  • Warm and humid conditions are expected to dominate the second half of February

January ended on a warmer note for Mumbai. Santacruz recorded its lowest minimum temperature of 15.9°C on 19 January 2026, which happens to be the highest minimum recorded in the last one decade or so. Day temperatures also remained above normal, albeit marginally, on most occasions. February has begun on a warm note as well, with maximum temperatures breaching 33°C on the first two days—these being the highest of the current winter season.

February, in general, is much warmer than January for Mumbai. More so, the second half of the month tends to get significantly warmer, with maximum temperatures invariably crossing the 35°C mark. Over the last decade, maximum temperatures have crossed 38°C in 2015, 2017, 2020, 2023, and 2025. Last year, day temperatures remained above 38°C for four consecutive days between 24 and 27 February. The highest maximum of 38.8°C was recorded in both 2015 and 2017, during the second half of the month.

Typical winter chill is unlikely to return for the coastal city, and day temperatures are expected to remain on the higher side. However, night temperatures will continue to hover between 15°C and 20°C. The lowest minimum temperature in February dropped to 11°C in 2019, while in most other years, it has remained closer to 15°C. Minimum temperatures tend to rise sharply by the beginning of March.

Due to the frequent passage of Western Disturbances, cold winds from the northern plains are getting arrested and are unable to reach north Gujarat, north Madhya Maharashtra, and the Konkan region. Day temperatures are likely to touch around 34°C during this week, while minimum temperatures will hover near 20°C, with an error margin of ±1°C. The onset of the sea breeze is expected to be delayed, allowing temperatures to rise for a longer duration during the forenoon and afternoon hours. Day temperatures may dip slightly between 10 and 12 February 2026. Warm and humid conditions are expected to become the norm for the city from the beginning of the second half of February.

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AVM GP Sharma
President of Meteorology & Climate Change
AVM Sharma, President of Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet Weather Services, is a retired Indian Air Force officer who previously led the Meteorological Branch at Air Headquarters in New Delhi. With over a decade of experience at Skymet, he brings a wealth of knowledge and expertise to the organization.
FAQ

Frequent Western Disturbances are blocking cold winds from reaching the region, keeping temperatures elevated.

Maximum temperatures often cross 35°C in the second half of February and have exceeded 38°C in several recent years.

A brief dip is possible between 10 and 12 February, but overall warmth will persist.

Disclaimer: This content is based on meteorological interpretation and climatological datasets assessed by Skymet’s forecasting team. While we strive to maintain scientific accuracy, weather patterns may evolve due to dynamic atmospheric conditions. This assessment is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered an absolute or guaranteed prediction.

Skymet is India’s most accurate private weather forecasting and climate intelligence company, providing reliable weather data, monsoon updates, and agri-risk management solutions across the country.