For the last one week East and Northeast India along with some parts of Western Ghats and southern peninsula were observing heavy rain. The break Monsoon conditions were responsible for rain in East and Northeast India, While in other parts rainfall was due to a low level circulation shifting from Kerala to coastal Karnataka and then to Konkan and Goa.
What is break Monsoon
During break Monsoon rainfall goes missing for days from the core zone of North and Central India. Rainfall largely becomes confined to the foothills of the Himalayas extending up to Northeast India, which is why we have seen some good spells of rain in Northeast and the foothills of Bihar and Uttar Pradesh in last few days.
Forecast of rain in Southern Peninsula
Revival of Monsoon generally takes place under the influence of Monsoon systems forming in the Bay of Bengal. Currently a low pressure area has formed in the westcentral Bay of Bengal and adjoining parts of south Odisha and North Andhra Pradesh. This system is going to move across Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Maharashtra, north Karnataka and on to Konkan and Goa over a period of next 3 days.
This system has a good potential to cause widespread rain in southern peninsula with heavy in pockets. This spell of rain is going to benefit Telangana and Marathwada a great deal as both the sub-divisions are facing a rainfall deficit of over 50%.
The Monsoon system will be moving in the southern latitudes around 15°N which will keep it in the proximity of moisture resource either from the Bay of Bengal or the Arabian Sea. Such a situation enhances the rainfall prospects over the region.
