The depression in the Arabian Sea has intensified into a Cyclonic Storm, Tej today morning. The system was a depression yesterday and underwent rapid intensification from a depression to a deep depression and then into a Cyclone during the early morning hours.
The storm is centred about 10 degrees north and 60 degrees East this morning. The storm is far away from the Indian coast and is deep into the open waters.
Because of its position, deep into the Arabian Sea, conditions are quite favourable for further intensification of the storm. Sea surface temperatures are very warm and there is low to medium vertical wind shear. Along with this, there is no friction at the moment because of its distance from coasts including Yemen and the Oman Coast.
The storm is expected to become a severe cyclone in the next 24 hours and later into a very severe cyclonic storm in 48 hours. It is likely to head for Yemen-Oman Coast. As it closes it to the coast, it will weaken because of entrainment, friction and proximity of the coast. But this will happen around late 24th and early 25th October, tentatively.