Dry Weather Week For The Country: Cold Wave Over Central Parts
Key Takeaways
- December continues the dry pattern of November, which saw a 43% pan-India rainfall deficit.
- No active western disturbance will impact northern plains; dry cold will persist.
- The Northeast Monsoon will remain inactive, increasing rainfall deficiency across its sub-divisions.
- Central India may experience pocket-wise cold waves, while northeast India faces dense fog and continued rainfall deficit.
The month of December is following the same pattern as November, with minimal rainfall over most parts of the country. Earlier, November had recorded a large pan-India deficit of 43% rainfall. Courtesy Cyclone Ditwah, rains were good over the South Peninsula and more prominently over the state of Tamil Nadu during the fag end of November and the start of December. However, the region now seems to be drying up, and minimal weather activity is likely.
In the north, no active western disturbance is expected, especially for the plains of Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, and Delhi. Dry cold is likely to persist over these parts. Even the seasonal fog will stay away from most regions. A feeble western disturbance will move across the higher reaches of the mountains on 13th and 14th December 2025. The effect will be mild and short-lived.
The southern parts will also remain free from any significant weather activity for the next one week. Weather systems will move in the equatorial latitudes, far from the Indian landmass. Light and scattered rainfall will occur over Tamil Nadu and Kerala after 15th December. The Northeast Monsoon will remain inactive for the next one week. Rainfall deficiency is expected to increase across all five sub-divisions of the Northeast Monsoon during this period.
No rainfall is likely over the central parts of the country. This region, as such, keeps its distance from western disturbances affecting North India and also lies along the extreme northern periphery of weather systems influencing the South Peninsula. Cold wave conditions are likely to prevail in some pockets of Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, and Odisha. Location-specific cold waves are likely over Bhopal, Indore, Gwalior, Shivpuri, Pachmarhi, Nowgong, Umaria, Ambikapur, Daltonganj, and Phulbani.
Dry weather conditions are likely to prevail over the entire northeastern region, including the valley and the mountains. Thick and dense fog is expected over Assam, Meghalaya, Manipur, Sikkim, and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal. This region has remained rain-deficit over the last two weeks, and the shortfall is likely to increase further. Overall, minimal rainfall activity is expected across the entire country during the next one week.
