Delhi Remains Dry And Hot Next One Week: Revival Of Monsoon During Last Week Of July

Key takeaways:

• Delhi will remain hot, humid, and largely dry for the next week with temperatures between 36°C and 38°C.
• Only isolated light sprinkles are expected, offering negligible relief from the prevailing weather conditions.
• A weak monsoon trough and feeble western disturbance are insufficient to trigger widespread rainfall.
• A fresh wet spell after July 20 may help Delhi's July rainfall move closer to the monthly normal.
• Forecast Validity: Next one week.

Monsoon rains have receded from Delhi, and the capital city remained dry and hot over the weekend. Temperatures have risen from below 30°C to around 37°C over the last three days. High humidity combined with the rising mercury has pushed up the 'feels-like' temperature, increasing the discomfort index. There is no immediate respite in sight, and these conditions are likely to prevail for over a week. Any rainfall during this period will be limited to isolated light sprinkles, offering little to no relief. However, surface winds are expected to remain stronger than normal, providing some comfort, especially in shaded areas.

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A weak western disturbance persists over the northern mountains in the form of an upper-air trough. The western end of the monsoon trough is currently passing through Ganganagar, Hisar, and Meerut, remaining north of Delhi. The trough is weak and lacks adequate moisture, and at best, may lead to scattered cloud cover. Temperatures are expected to stay above normal, remaining in the range of 36°C to 38°C. Today, the maximum temperature is likely to hover around 37°C (±1°C).

Delhi has a consistent track record of exceeding its normal July rainfall of 195.8 mm. The city has recorded above-normal rainfall in each of the last six Julys, including the El Niño year of 2023. Earlier, Safdarjung Observatory recorded 503.1 mm of rainfall in July 2021, the highest July total since 2010. No significant rainfall is expected over Delhi until July 20, 2026. A wet spell lasting a few days thereafter may help the monthly rainfall inch closer to the normal mark.

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