Diwali 2026: Rain Likely Across South India, Chennai, Bengaluru and Kerala at Risk

By: AVM GP Sharma | Edited By: Arti Kumari
Nov 6, 2026, 1:30 PM
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Key Takeaways:

  • Most parts of India are expected to remain dry during the Diwali weekend, except for the southern peninsula.
  • Remnants of storm Murasu and active northeasterly monsoon winds are supporting rainfall across southern states.
  • Chennai, Bengaluru, Puducherry, Madurai, Kochi and several other cities may experience rain and thundershowers during the festivities.
  • Rainfall activity is likely to continue beyond the Diwali weekend across parts of South India.

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The weather conditions are likely to remain dry over most parts of the country, outside the South Peninsula, over the weekend. Scattered rains have lashed Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Kerala and South Interior Karnataka in the past 24 hours. A similar trend is likely today and also during the weekend on Saturday and Sunday.

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The remnant of storm ‘Murasu’ is still seen as a weak cyclonic circulation over Telangana and Coastal Andhra Pradesh. Also, there is a trough extending in the lower levels from the Southeast Arabian Sea to South Interior Karnataka, across Kerala. The northeasterly monsoon stream, as such, is active over the extreme southern parts and on either side of the coastline. A feeble cyclonic circulation is marked over the Comorin and Maldives region in the lower levels.

Under the combined influence of these systems, the southern parts of the country are likely to witness rainy conditions during the weekend. The locations vulnerable to rain and thundershowers will include Chennai, Puducherry, Cuddalore, Karaikal, Nagapattinam, Madurai, Trichy, Thanjavur, Coimbatore, Bengaluru, Mysore, Mandya, Hassan, Chitradurga, Kochi, Thiruvananthapuram, Kozhikode, Thrissur, Kannur and adjoining stations of Coastal Karnataka. The wet spell may hamper Diwali festivities across these parts. Rains will continue even beyond the weekend in a similar fashion.

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AVM GP Sharma
President of Meteorology & Climate Change
AVM Sharma, President of Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet Weather Services, is a retired Indian Air Force officer who previously led the Meteorological Branch at Air Headquarters in New Delhi. With over a decade of experience at Skymet, he brings a wealth of knowledge and expertise to the organization.
FAQ

Yes, according to the forecast, scattered rain and thundershowers are likely across parts of Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Karnataka and Coastal Andhra Pradesh during the Diwali weekend.

Chennai, Puducherry, Madurai, Coimbatore, Bengaluru, Mysore, Kochi, Thiruvananthapuram, Kozhikode and several other southern cities may experience rain and thundershowers.

Yes, the forecast indicates that rainy conditions may continue beyond the weekend under the influence of active northeast monsoon conditions and associated weather systems.

Disclaimer: This analysis is based on Skymet’s proprietary weather database, internal forecast models, station observations, climatological datasets, and expert meteorological interpretation by the Skymet Weather team. While every effort is made to ensure scientific accuracy, weather conditions are dynamic and may evolve over time. This assessment is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered an absolute or guaranteed prediction.

Skymet is India’s most accurate private weather forecasting and climate intelligence company, providing reliable weather data, monsoon updates, and agri-risk management solutions across the country.