Dry Weather Over Northern Plains: Heat wave Likely Over Rajasthan

Jun 5, 2025, 5:16 PM | Skymet Weather Team
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Both the mountains and plains of North India witnessed mild summery conditions for the last ten days. Otherwise, the last week of May and the start of June have terrible weather with a mix of heat and humidity. The region was frequented by the western disturbances and pre-monsoon small-scale circulations, causing increased spread of pre-monsoon activity.

Thunderstorms and dust storms accompanied by strong winds and soothing showers remained the hallmark of the last fortnight or so.

There is a twist in the weather conditions likely across the region. The westerly systems over the mountains will have a week-long pause. The auxiliary cyclonic circulations over the plains will remain suspended during that period. Prolonged drier weather conditions and a stream of hot winds, advected across the border areas, will raise the mercury beyond the normal range in some pockets. Border posts of Rajasthan will be more vulnerable to scathing heat.

Pockets of heat waves may come up over the mountains of Himachal Pradesh during the next 10 days or so. Many parts of Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, and Delhi will have the mercury shooting through the roof. Pathankot, Amritsar, Jalandhar, Bhatinda, Firozpur, Ludhiana, Patiala, Chandigarh, Ambala, Hisar, Karnal, Sirsa, and Delhi will have temperatures in excess of 42°C around mid-week next.

Across the border, the temperatures are in excess of 45°C over central parts of Pakistan. Westerly winds are likely to transport this heat over West Rajasthan.  

A severe heat wave is likely to come up over many parts of Rajasthan. Border posts, including Barmer, Jaisalmer, Phalodi, Bikaner, and Jodhpur, will be more susceptible. A heat wave is likely over parts of East and North Rajasthan. Prominent cities will include Ganganagar, Suratgarh, Hanumangarh, Pilani, Sikar, Kota, Bundi, Bharatpur, Dholpur, Dausa, and Swai Madhopur.

The southwest monsoon arrives towards the fag end of June over Delhi, Haryana, and Punjab, and the last posts of West Rajasthan are covered in the first week of July. These parts are likely to experience typical pre-monsoon weather till then. Unlike  before the time of the onset of the monsoon over the mainland, an early arrival  is not assured over these parts.  As such, the monsoon remains stalled for the last about ten days.  Reversal is likely to commence in the second week of June, but it may not be a large-scale recovery and could remain lopsided.  Fingers crossed.

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