Heavy Rainfall likely over Kolkata: Persistent Moderate Rainfall for one week

By: AVM GP Sharma | Edited By: Arti Kumari
Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 PM
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Key Takeaways:

  • Kolkata is expected to witness a weeklong spell of moderate monsoon rainfall with one or two heavy downpour events.
  • A cyclonic circulation over South Bangladesh and adjoining regions will support increased rainfall activity.
  • The monsoon trough is likely to shift into a more favourable position after three to four days, enhancing rainfall further.
  • Daytime temperatures will remain around 30°C due to persistent cloud cover and intermittent showers.
  • Forecast Validity: Next 3 to 5 days.

Kolkata has not received any heavy monsoon rainfall so far in July this season. In June, following the onset of the monsoon, the city witnessed heavy showers on a couple of occasions, but rainfall activity slowed down with the arrival of July. July and August are typically the rainiest months for Kolkata, with monthly rainfall generally exceeding 350 mm. So far, the city has recorded about 130 mm of rainfall in July against the normal of 366.5 mm. A weeklong spell of moderate rain is likely, embedded with heavy downpours on one or two days.

A cyclonic circulation is marked over South Bangladesh and the adjoining sea region. A north-south trough extends along 88°–89°E, passing close to the capital city. The North Bay of Bengal and adjoining Gangetic West Bengal are likely to remain under the influence of a circulatory wind pattern over the next few days. Under its influence, a monsoon system may also develop later. The seasonal monsoon trough, another key trigger for rainfall, is currently positioned north of its normal location. It is expected to shift into a more favourable position over the next three to four days, further enhancing rainfall activity.

Kolkata and its suburbs are expected to receive moderate to heavy rainfall over the next 24 hours. Rainfall intensity may reduce briefly tomorrow before picking up again during the second half of the week. Cloudy skies, accompanied by intermittent spells of rain and thundershowers, will keep the daytime temperature suppressed at around 30°C (±1°C). Most of the weather activity is expected during the late afternoon, evening, and nighttime hours.

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AVM GP Sharma
President of Meteorology & Climate Change
AVM Sharma, President of Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet Weather Services, is a retired Indian Air Force officer who previously led the Meteorological Branch at Air Headquarters in New Delhi. With over a decade of experience at Skymet, he brings a wealth of knowledge and expertise to the organization.
FAQ

Yes. Moderate rainfall is expected throughout the week, with one or two days likely to witness heavy downpours.

A cyclonic circulation over South Bangladesh, combined with a favourable monsoon trough position, is expected to enhance rainfall activity.

Cloudy skies and frequent showers will keep daytime temperatures around 30°C.

Disclaimer: This content is based on meteorological interpretation and climatological datasets assessed by Skymet’s forecasting team. While we strive to maintain scientific accuracy, weather patterns may evolve due to dynamic atmospheric conditions. This assessment is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered an absolute or guaranteed prediction.

Skymet is India’s most accurate private weather forecasting and climate intelligence company, providing reliable weather data, monsoon updates, and agri-risk management solutions across the country.

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