Low Pressure Over Madhya Pradesh: Heavy Rainfall Likely for Uttar Pradesh-MP

Key Takeaways:

• The low-pressure area over Northeast Madhya Pradesh has weakened slightly, but its associated cyclonic circulation continues to persist.
• Scattered heavy rain is likely over North Madhya Pradesh, while moderate to heavy rainfall may affect several parts of Uttar Pradesh during the next 24 hours.
• The rain belt is expected to gradually shift eastward towards Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand, with activity continuing till August 28.
• A fresh cyclonic circulation may develop over the Bay of Bengal around August 29 and revive monsoon activity across eastern and adjoining central India.
• Forecast Validity: Next 3 to 5 days.

Yesterday’s low-pressure area has weakened slightly and is lying over Northeast Madhya Pradesh and adjoining parts. The cyclonic circulation continues to persist and extends beyond 15,000 feet in height. The weather system may linger over the same area for the next 24 hours. Very unusual, but the system may retard a bit to shift eastward and get subsumed by the seasonal monsoon trough. Close on its heels, another system is expected to come up over the Northwest Bay of Bengal and coastal parts of Odisha and West Bengal, making its initial presence as an upper-air cyclonic circulation over that area.

[Check your local weather forecast here]

Under the influence of low pressure over Northeast Madhya Pradesh, weather activity will be focused more on North Madhya Pradesh and Central Uttar Pradesh. In the next 24 hours, scattered heavy rains are likely, and the places at risk will include Datia, Bhind, Tikamgarh, Panna, Rewa, Sagar, Nowgong and Jabalpur. Light to moderate rainfall is likely over Southwest Madhya Pradesh, covering Ratlam, Neemuch, Indore, Ujjain, Rajgarh, Dhar, Khargone and Khandwa.

Moderate to heavy rains are likely over Uttar Pradesh, affecting Prayagraj, Lucknow, Kanpur, Ayodhya, Fursatganj, Orai, Sultanpur and Raebareli. Gradually, the weather belt will shift eastward to reach parts of Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand. This weather activity will last till 28th August 2026.

A fresh cyclonic circulation is likely to come up over the Bay and coastal parts of North Odisha and Gangetic West Bengal on 29th August. The weather activity will revive again over the eastern parts of the country. Though a little early to predict, this weather system will take the monsoon activity deep inland to reach the outskirts of Madhya Pradesh, central parts of Chhattisgarh and eastern peripherals of Vidarbha.

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