Low Pressure Area Over Jharkhand: Intense Showers Over Eastern Parts - Very Heavy Rainfall Over Madhya Pradesh

By: AVM GP Sharma | Edited By: Arti Kumari
Sep 2, 2026, 2:30 PM
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Representational Image: AI-Skymet

Key Takeaways:

  • Madhya Pradesh faces vigorous monsoon conditions, with very heavy rainfall possible at a few places and a risk of localised flooding and inundation.
  • Panna, Sagar, Khajuraho, Jabalpur, Narsimhapur, Hoshangabad, Raisen, Betul, Harda and Chhindwara are among the places at risk.
  • The soybean belt of southwest Madhya Pradesh, including Indore, Ujjain, Khargone, Khandwa, Dhar, Neemuch and Ratlam, may receive moderate to heavy showers between September 4 and 6.
  • Rainfall should start easing from September 7, with broader clearance expected from September 10 onward.
  • Forecast Validity: Next one week.

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The well-marked low-pressure area over Odisha and West Bengal moved west-northwest and is now lying over North Jharkhand and adjoining parts of Bihar, Uttar Pradesh and Chhattisgarh. It will move further west and get positioned over East Madhya Pradesh and neighbouring Uttar Pradesh and weaken into a low-pressure area in the next 24 hours. Active to vigorous monsoon activity is expected over the eastern states and contiguous central parts of the country.

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Fairly widespread moderate to heavy showers at many places are likely over Jharkhand, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, East Uttar Pradesh and East Madhya Pradesh today. As the system moves westward, the convergence zone in the forward section will intensify under the influence of an eastward-moving westerly trough. In addition to the rainfall activity over all these parts, Madhya Pradesh will come under the fury of a vigorous monsoon between 3rd and 05th September. Peak intensity weather will cover the central parts of the state on 03rd and 04th September. The southwestern parts of the state will have moderate to heavy showers between 04th and 06th September. The rains will start easing out from 07th September onward, but broad clearance will follow on 10th September and later.

In addition to the eastern parts, where the rains are likely to be moderately strong, an alarm needs to be sounded for the state of Madhya Pradesh. There could be localised flooding and inundation of low-lying areas. Stormy weather activity will be accompanied by lightning strikes and strong gusty winds. The downpour is expected to be very heavy at a few places. The places at risk will include Panna, Sagar, Khajuraho, Jabalpur, Narsimhapur, Hoshangabad, Raisen, Betul, Harda and Chhindwara. The southwest portion of the state, a dominating soybean belt covering Khargone, Khandwa, Dhar, Neemuch, Ratlam, Indore and Ujjain, will get fairly widespread moderate rainfall, heavy at isolated places, between 04th and 06th September. These could be the last monsoon showers for that region. A prolonged spell of fair weather is likely to prevail over the state after 10th September 2026.

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AVM GP Sharma
President of Meteorology & Climate Change
AVM Sharma, President of Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet Weather Services, is a retired Indian Air Force officer who previously led the Meteorological Branch at Air Headquarters in New Delhi. With over a decade of experience at Skymet, he brings a wealth of knowledge and expertise to the organization.
FAQ

Panna, Sagar, Khajuraho, Jabalpur, Narsimhapur, Hoshangabad, Raisen, Betul, Harda and Chhindwara are among the areas at risk of very heavy rainfall, along with localised flooding, lightning and gusty winds.

The southwest region, including Khargone, Khandwa, Dhar, Neemuch, Ratlam, Indore and Ujjain, may receive fairly widespread moderate rainfall with isolated heavy spells between September 4 and 6.

Rainfall activity is expected to start easing from September 7. Broader clearance and a prolonged spell of fair weather are likely from September 10 onward.

Disclaimer: This analysis is based on Skymet’s proprietary weather database, internal forecast models, station observations, climatological datasets, and expert meteorological interpretation by the Skymet Weather team. While every effort is made to ensure scientific accuracy, weather conditions are dynamic and may evolve over time. This assessment is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered an absolute or guaranteed prediction.

Skymet is India’s most accurate private weather forecasting and climate intelligence company, providing reliable weather data, monsoon updates, and agri-risk management solutions across the country.