Delhi: Light-Moderate Rainfall Continue, Heavy Showers Late Next Week
The record base station for Delhi at Safdarjung drew a blank for the third consecutive day. Most other stations in the capital city also recorded zero rainfall in the past 24 hours. Exceptions were Najafgarh, Ayanagar, and Narela, which saved the grace with sprinkles amounting to just measurable rainfall of 1mm or less.
Similar conditions are likely for the rest of the week. One odd spell of moderate shower cannot be ruled out in between, around the weekend.
The monsoon trough remains the main trigger for rainfall activity. Under prevailing ‘break-in-monsoon’ conditions, the trough has shifted north of Delhi and is therefore less conducive for any impressive monsoon activity. During such situations, rainfall gets confined to the foothills, like the state of Uttarakhand, which has been experiencing inclement weather conditions over the last two days.
To bring a hiatus to the ‘break monsoon’, a fresh system will be needed over the Bay of Bengal. Such systems alone resume the normal monsoon activity over Delhi and suburbs. One such system, as a cyclonic circulation, is forming over the Northwest Bay of Bengal on 11th–12th August 2025. The weather system will consolidate and reorganize in the subsequent 24 hours before it ingresses inland, starting with the eastern parts.
Further movement of this system will result in a change in wind pattern and drag the monsoon trough southward. This will also put an end to the ‘break monsoon’ conditions over the country. Normal monsoon activity will resume for Delhi/NCR around mid-week next and later. Till then, sporadic and fleeting rains will remain the hallmark for the week. On account of the oscillation and pulsating nature of the monsoon trough, one or two stray moderate showers may lash the region. The upcoming Friday to Monday will have a fair chance for such comforting showers.
