Twin Low Pressure Area Over Indian Seas: Monsoon Withdrawal Remains On Hold
Image Courtesy: CIMSS
A pair of low-pressure areas is lingering over the Indian seas, one on each side of the coastline. On the western side, there is a low-pressure area over the Gulf of Kutch and the adjoining northeast Arabian Sea. It is likely to move completely over the Arabian Sea and intensify into a depression in the next 12–24 hours. The low pressure is centered around 22°N and 68°E, enjoying the proximity of both land and sea. This system has a wind field of about 50 km/h around its center and is likely to move west-southwest to position itself over the northwest Arabian Sea.
Another low-pressure area, now strengthened to a well-marked low-pressure system, is located over the west-central Bay of Bengal. The system is centered around 15.5°N and 86°E and has a wind field of 55–60 km/h around its center. It is likely to become a depression very soon and move to the northwest Bay of Bengal in close proximity to the coastline. Furthermore, it is expected to cross the south Odisha and north coastal Andhra Pradesh coast in the early hours of 3 October 2025.
While these two systems will keep the weather activity going on the western and eastern flanks respectively, an active western disturbance will join the pool on 4 October 2025. A cyclonic circulation of the system will cross the border areas to move into north Rajasthan and Punjab on 5 October. Under the combined influence of these systems, a fair amount of weather activity will continue until about 10 October. The regions affected will include Northeast India, West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, and Chhattisgarh. The impact of the weather will also include Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, and Uttar Pradesh. All the hilly states of North India will also experience weather activity, with heavy and intense spells expected over these parts on 6 and 7 October.
Keeping the spread and intensity of the weather in view, the monsoon withdrawal will remain on hold for the next 10 days. Rains will visit even those areas where withdrawal had been announced earlier last month. Courtesy of another weather system likely to develop over the Bay of Bengal, monsoon activity will stretch beyond 10 October over the eastern states and Northeast India.
