Between June 1 and September 25th, Odisha is rain deficient by 11% whereas Andhra Pradesh has recorded surplus rain of 13%. The first cyclone of the season Gulab is over Northwest and West Central Bay of Bengal. It is moving in a westerly direction towards south Odisha and North Andhra Pradesh coast.
Light to moderate rain with few heavy spells have already occurred over coastal regions of Andhra Pradesh and Odisha. This cyclone is expected to make landfall between Gopalpur and Kalingapatnam by midnight of September 26.
At the time of landfall wind speed may be 70-80 Kmph gusting to 90-100 Kmph. Sea conditions will remain a referred to variant of along Orissa Andhra Pradesh and gangetic West Bengal Court until afternoon evening of September 27.
Rain activities will now increase gradually over coastal districts of Odisha and Andhra Pradesh. Impact of cyclone will be felt over Visakhapatnam Srikakulam Vizianagaram and East and west Godavari districts of Andhra Pradesh. Wind speed over Kakinada may be less around 60-70 Kmph gusting to 80 Kmph.
In Odisha, Gajapati, Ganjam, Rayagada, Koraput and Kalahandi districts may get impacted. These districts may receive heavy to very heavy rain until morning of September 27.
After making landfall, cyclone will start degenerating rapidly and may degenerate into depression by morning of September 27 and subsequently into a low-pressure area moving towards Vidarbha. Heavy rain over coastal districts of both States may lead to inundation of low line areas.
Uprooting of trees, damage to Kuccha houses, communication and electric lines may also so get damaged. Sea conditions along Andhra Pradesh and Odisha coast may remain a rough to very rough until afternoon of September 27. The cyclone will keep moving in a westerly direction towards south Rajasthan and Gujarat across North Maharashtra at the South Madhya Pradesh weakening gradually.