The well marked low pressure area has intensified into a depression yesterday. The system is currently centred at 400 km away from Sri Lanka Coast, posutioned at 83.3 degree East and 9.1 degree North.
The system will initially move west northwestards for the next 24 hours or so and will possibly cross Sri Lanka Coast in about 36 hours and weaken. Thereafter the system is expected to shift west southwest, equatorward. The downward movement will further weaken the system, and continue to do so.
The system is presently is placed in a marginal environment with sea temperatures of about 28-29 degrees. The wind shear is also light to moderate shear. It is in a favourable conditions for further intensification. But looking at its downward movement after 24 hours, it does not suggest intensification.
The system is not moving away from the region thus the system may continue to give some rains in Kerala as well as Tamil Nadu in the next 24 hours. This system has already given some light rainfall over both Tamil Nadu and Kerala. After 24 hours, the system has the possibility of resulting in some heavy showers over south coastal parts of Tamil Nadu including Karaikal, Puducherry, Tuticorin, Tondi etc. Other parts will see light to moderate showers.
