The hills of the Western Himalayas are waiting for an active Western disturbance. In fact, we have not seen any active western disturbance over the Western Himalayas until now. A moderate-intensity Western disturbance approached the hills on October 9 and 10 and again on November 9 and 10, giving light to moderate rain and snow.
The second half of October and most parts of November did not witness significant rain and snow. That is the reason that typical winter chill is absent over Northwest India.
A fresh Western disturbance is approaching the hills from the night of November 25th. There may be light to moderate rain and snow over Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand between November 26 and 27. However, rainfall activities will not be very intense and widespread.
These systems start approaching the Western Himalayas in October and continue until March, with peak intensity during December and January. However, 2 to 3 active Western disturbances also approach the hills in November. However, the frequency and intensity of Western disturbances have been much lower than normal since last year in the months of October and November.
