The capital city, Delhi is likely to have pleasing weather conditions over the next 2 weeks. Plenty of sunshine on most days and some thin clouds on 1 or 2 days in between are quite likely. Winter chill will gradually reduce as we cross over to the 2nd half of the month. Days are going to be warmer, albeit pleasantly to start with and later catching up with mild heat.
Delhi has observed just 1 rainy day this winter season.
Between 01st November 2022 and 09th February 2023, the base observatory recorded measurable rainfall of 20 mm on 29th Jan 2023. November & December 2022 and February so far have remained completely dry. There are no rains likely for the next 2 weeks or even longer. Delhi record observatory at Safdarjung has measured mere 20mm rainfall, since 01st Nov 2022 and that too in just one day. Normal winter rainfall for these 4 months stands at 52.8mm.
Trail of western disturbance is moving across the northern mountains, since mid- Jan 2023. Their impact is mostly confined to the hills. Only one of these systems induced a cyclonic circulation over plains in the last week of January and that caused good spread of winter showers, intense at few places.
Yet another western disturbance arrived over Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh region. This is an active system and moderate to heavy rain and snow is expected over the mountains, on a reducing note from west to east. Induced circulation of this system over north Punjab will result light rainfall covering northern half of the state and foothills of Haryana. Delhi remains far from the reach of these systems.
Few clouds may come up in the evening and night, raising the night temperatures. Another western disturbance arriving next week will again have similar conditions and therefore Delhi will not receive any rainfall till 3rd week of February. However, mercury levels will rise gradually and may stay above the average values during the 2nd half of the month.
