Monsoon rains seems to be over for Gujarat. Monsoon withdrawal notice may appear anytime soon. Following retreat of the monsoon, entire state of Gujarat literally goes in to limbo and an extended dry spell is witnessed all through the post monsoon season. Only, a cyclone in the Arabian Sea barreling towards the coastline can break the jinx, which itself does not happen very often.
Anticyclone has established over Rajasthan and North Gujarat. This feature is slightly displaced and so moist winds from the ocean are reaching Saurashtra & Kutch and North Gujarat. Therefore, the temperatures remain suppressed which otherwise have a tendency to shoot immediately after the withdrawal of monsoon. North Gujarat and Kutch heats up to record 40°C at few places around the Air Force Day on 08thOctober. Naliya and Bhuj, invariably race to record first 40°C of the season.
Tropic of Capricorn passes through the northern parts of the state. Second summer of the season may commence for the state after first week of October. Locations like Deesa, Patan, Mehsana, Palanpur, Basankantha and Sabarkantha run the risk of extreme heat during 2nd and 3rdweek of October.
Slightly chilly winds start appearing over the northern plains towards the last week of October and beginning of November. Change in the wind pattern carry these winds right up to interiors of the state. This is the time when the mercury starts easing out a bit, turning warm from hot. Coastal stations continue to be warm and humid even during first half of November. Weather conditions become cosy merely for 2 months, December and January, for the complete state.