Skymet Weather forecasts below normal Monsoon for India in 2017

March 28, 2017 1:14 PM |

Monsoon in India3

According to Skymet Weather, Monsoon 2017 is likely to remain below normal at 95% (with an error margin of +/-5%) of the long period average (LPA) of 887 mm for the four-month period from June to September.

As per Skymet Weather, Monsoon probabilities for JJAS are:

• 0% chance of excess (seasonal rainfall that is more than 110% of LPA)
• 10% chance of above normal (seasonal rainfall that is between 105 to 110% of LPA)
• 50% chance of normal (seasonal rainfall that is between 96 to 104% of LPA)
• 25% chance of below normal (seasonal rainfall that is between 90 to 95% of LPA)
• 15% chance of drought (seasonal rainfall that is less than 90% of LPA)

Table-- Skymet forecast for Monsoon 2017

Related Post: Agriculture bore the brunt despite normal monsoon in 2016

On a monthly scale, the precipitation foreshadow is as follows:

June – 102% of LPA (LPA for June = 164 mm)

• 70% chance of normal
• 20% chance of above normal
• 10% chance of below normal

July – 94% of LPA (LPA for July= 289 mm)

• 60% chance of normal
• 10% chance of above normal
• 30% chance of below normal

August – 93% of LPA (LPA for August = 261 mm)

• 60% chance of normal
• 10% chance of above normal
• 30% chance of below normal

September – 96% of LPA (LPA for September = 173 mm)

• 50% chance of normal
• 20% chance of above normal
• 30% chance of below normal

Related Post: Monsoon Rains playing games with PM Modi since 2014

To download Skymet Weather's Monsoon Foreshadow report, click here

 

Weather Forecast

Other Latest Stories

Weather on Twitter
Weather Forecast June 21: Heavy rain in Coastal Karnataka, Goa, Maharashtra, Andhra, Odisha: t.co/dTEvnjf9td
Thursday, June 20 23:29Reply
We expect light to moderate #rain and thundershowers with one or two heavy spells to over most parts of #Telanganat.co/8SA08DyX82
Thursday, June 20 21:31Reply
There could be a little clouding with light rain during the evening hours in the city in #Bengaluru.… t.co/7GefAlb5CM
Thursday, June 20 21:00Reply
Talking about the #weather in #Ranchi, tomorrow we expect light rain and thundershowers during the morning and afte… t.co/04Fu6CNXUc
Thursday, June 20 20:30Reply
Active #Monsoon to lash #Kerala, Coastal #Karnataka with heavy rains: t.co/EfadTuGOxZ
Thursday, June 20 20:15Reply
A fresh Low Pressure area will result in the advancement of #Monsoon over a bigger chunk. #Monsoon2019 t.co/zNurXC3h1x
Thursday, June 20 20:00Reply
#Monsoon Forecast for June 20:Active #Monsoon to give heavy #rains over #Kerala and Coastal #Karnataka: t.co/l6OmlGHlxK
Thursday, June 20 19:53Reply
we expect, #rainfall activities to continue and many parts of Coastal #Karnataka and #Kerala will witness heavy to… t.co/DHLOzNxizc
Thursday, June 20 19:27Reply
मंद सुरुवात झाल्यानंतर, दररोजची पावसाची कमतरता आणि एकत्रित उणीव ४३ टक्के इतकी वाढली असताना, आता मात्र मान्सून योग्य… t.co/12OmPVVfjG
Thursday, June 20 19:15Reply
RT @SinghPani: @SkymetWeather it's raining in jodhpur t.co/Csq0TW2CoE
Thursday, June 20 19:06Reply

latest news

USAID Skymet Partnership

Skymet weather

Download the Skymet App

Our app is available for download so give it a try