According to Skymet Weather, Monsoon 2018 is likely to remain normal at 100% (with an error margin of +/-5%) of the long period average (LPA) of 887 mm for the four-month period from June to September.
As per Skymet Weather, Monsoon probabilities for JJAS are:
• 5% chance of excess (seasonal rainfall that is more than 110% of LPA)
• 20% chance of above normal (seasonal rainfall that is between 105 to 110% of LPA)
• 55% chance of normal (seasonal rainfall that is between 96 to 104% of LPA)
• 20% chance of below normal (seasonal rainfall that is between 90 to 95% of LPA)
• 0% chance of drought (seasonal rainfall that is less than 90% of LPA)
On a monthly scale, the precipitation foreshadow is as follows:
June – 111% of LPA (LPA for June = 164 mm)
• 30% chance of normal
• 60% chance of above normal
• 10% chance of below normal
July – 97% of LPA (LPA for July= 289 mm)
• 55% chance of normal
• 15% chance of above normal
• 30% chance of below normal
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August – 96% of LPA (LPA for August = 261 mm)
• 55% chance of normal
• 10% chance of above normal
• 35% chance of below normal
September – 101% of LPA (LPA for September = 173 mm)
• 60% chance of normal
• 20% chance of above normal
• 20% chance of below normal
To download Skymet Weather's Monsoon Forecast report, click here
To download Monsoon 2018 Forecast P.P.T, click here
Very much informative, thanks
very good
Gooood news for India
Monsoon 2018 Kesa rhega sir please notifies