Weather Forecast September 05: Very Heavy Rain in MP, North, East and Northeast India
Representational Image: AI-Skymet
Key Takeaways:
- North and West Madhya Pradesh face the highest rainfall risk, with isolated heavy to very heavy spells possible during the next 24 hours.
- East Rajasthan, West Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh may witness light to moderate rain with isolated heavy spells.
- A low-to-moderate flash-flood risk persists over parts of Madhya Pradesh, East Rajasthan and Southwest Uttar Pradesh until 5:30 AM IST on September 5.
- Rainfall will remain comparatively subdued over Gujarat, Marathwada, Telangana, Rayalaseema and Kerala, although isolated rain or thunderstorms remain possible.
- Forecast Validity: Next 24 hours.
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The Weather Systems Over The Country
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The well-marked low-pressure area has moved from Northeast Madhya Pradesh to central parts of North Madhya Pradesh and adjoining South Uttar Pradesh. The associated cyclonic circulation extends up to 7.6 km above mean sea level and tilts southwards with height. The system is likely to remain nearly stationary during the next two days.
The monsoon trough at mean sea level passes through Bikaner, Sikar, the centre of the well-marked low-pressure area, Daltonganj and Berhampore, before extending eastwards towards Tripura.
A trough extends from the cyclonic circulation associated with the well-marked low-pressure area to Nagaland across Bihar, North Jharkhand, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and South Assam at about 1.5 km above mean sea level.
Another trough extends from the Northeast Arabian Sea to Jharkhand across Gujarat, the cyclonic circulation over North Madhya Pradesh and adjoining South Uttar Pradesh, and North Chhattisgarh. It extends between 3.1 and 4.5 km above mean sea level.
An upper-air cyclonic circulation lies over Coastal Tamil Nadu and the adjoining Southwest Bay of Bengal at about 7.6 km above mean sea level.
A Western Disturbance persists as a trough in the middle and upper tropospheric westerlies, with its axis near 75°E to the north of 32°N.
Weather Activities During The Last 24 Hours
During the last 24 hours, widespread light to moderate rain occurred over Madhya Pradesh, Uttarakhand, West Uttar Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, the northeastern states, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Maharashtra, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Coastal Karnataka and Interior Karnataka.
Light to moderate rain occurred at many places over Jammu and Kashmir, East Rajasthan, East Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand, Odisha, Vidarbha, Telangana, North Tamil Nadu, Konkan and Goa, and Lakshadweep.
Heavy rain occurred at many places over North Madhya Pradesh and Southwest Uttar Pradesh and at isolated places over Assam and Meghalaya. Nowgong (Naugaon) recorded 12 cm of rainfall, Cherrapunji 7 cm and Jhansi 6 cm. Chennai-Meenambakkam recorded 4 cm, while Gwalior and Sultanpur received 3 cm each.
The highest maximum temperature over the country was 40.2°C at Palayamkottai in Tamil Nadu. The lowest minimum temperature over the plains was 17.0°C at Haflong in Assam.
Forecast
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During the next 24 hours, light to moderate rain with isolated heavy to very heavy spells may occur over North and West Madhya Pradesh.
Light to moderate rain with isolated heavy spells is possible over East Rajasthan, West Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh.
Light to moderate rain with isolated heavy spells may also occur over Bihar, West Bengal, Sikkim, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura.
Fairly widespread light to moderate rain is expected over Konkan and Goa, Coastal Karnataka, Coastal Andhra Pradesh and parts of Vidarbha. Scattered rain may occur over Punjab, Haryana and Delhi, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Maharashtra and Interior Karnataka.
Rainfall activity will remain subdued over Gujarat, Saurashtra and Kutch, Marathwada, Telangana, Rayalaseema and Kerala. However, isolated rain or thunderstorms remain possible.
The cyclonic circulation over Coastal Tamil Nadu may produce scattered rain and thunderstorms over Tamil Nadu and Puducherry. Isolated heavy rain cannot be ruled out.
Thunderstorms accompanied by lightning and gusty winds of 40–50 kmph may occur over Andhra Pradesh, North Interior Karnataka and Tamil Nadu. Gusty winds of 30–40 kmph are possible over Rajasthan, Bihar, Jharkhand, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Telangana, South Interior Karnataka and the Andaman and Nicobar Islands.
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